DET

2025-26 Season

TOLU SMITH

Detroit Pistons | Forward | 6-11
Tolu Smith
3.5PPG
3.0RPG
0.8APG
8.5MPG
-3.8 Impact

Smith produces at an below average rate for a 8-minute workload.

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IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-3.8
Scoring +2.8
Points Scored 3.5 PPG = +3.5
Missed Shots difficulty-adjusted = -1.1
Shot Making above expected FG% = +0.4
Creation +0.3
Assists & Self-Creation 0.8 AST/g + self-creation = +0.3
Turnovers -1.2
Turnovers 0.5/g (live + dead blend) = -1.2
Defense -0.8
Steals 0.2/g = +0.5
Blocks 0.4/g = +0.4
Fouls + context committed fouls, matchup adj = -1.7
Hustle & Effort +3.4
Rebounds 3.0 RPG (OREB + DREB) = +2.7
Contested Shots 1.6/g = +0.3
Deflections 0.2/g = +0.1
Charges Drawn 0.0/g = +0.0
Loose Balls 0.1/g = +0.0
Screen Assists 0.9/g = +0.3
Raw Impact +4.5
Baseline (game-average expected) −8.3
Net Impact
-3.8
26th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. Smith has posted negative impact in 82% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Average defender. Smith doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

Small downward trend. First-half impact: -2.4, second-half: -5.0. Not alarming yet, but trending the wrong direction.

In a rough stretch — 12 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 12 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY ⚠ Updated 46 days ago

Based on 37 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

J. Williams 27.0 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 4
M. Robinson 19.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 2
I. Zubac 15.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 2
B. Lopez 15.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 3
J. Smith 14.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
T. Bryant 9.6 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.62
PTS 6
K. Towns 8.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Poeltl 7.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
T. Jackson-Davis 7.5 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Collins 7.5 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. Williams 27.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
M. Robinson 20.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 2
I. Zubac 18.1 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 3
J. Smith 13.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 75.0%
PPP 0.65
PTS 9
B. Lopez 11.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
T. Jackson-Davis 10.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
T. Bryant 9.1 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 2
A. Hukporti 8.9 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 2
J. Collins 8.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 2
P. Williams 7.9 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.38
PTS 3

SEASON STATS

17
Games
3.5
PPG
3.0
RPG
0.8
APG
0.2
SPG
0.4
BPG
52.6
FG%
0.0
3P%
66.7
FT%
8.5
MPG

GAME LOG

17 games played