2025-26 Season
STEPHEN CURRY
2025-26 Season
STEPHEN CURRY
PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology
TEAM COMPARISON
of 19 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)
Similar Players
Same position, closest production profile this season.
SKILL DNA
Percentile rank vs 245 Guards with 10+ games
THE SEASON SO FAR
Stephen Curry’s opening stretch of the 2025-26 campaign was defined by violent oscillation, swinging wildly between transcendent offensive mastery and disjointed, forced chucking. When his rhythm synced with the offense, he was utterly unguardable, completely bending the opposing defensive scheme to his will. This was obvious on 11/14 vs SAS, where he erupted for 49 points and generated a staggering +25.6 impact score through sheer offensive dominance. High scoring did not always translate to winning basketball, however. During his 10/30 vs MIL outing, he poured in 27 points but posted a -3.6 impact score because underlying inefficiencies and costly turnovers actively killed the team's momentum. Conversely, he did not always need to score to dominate the margins. On 10/28 vs LAC, Curry managed just 19 points but still drove a +7.8 impact score because the sheer panic he induced off the ball warped the defense and created wide-open cutting lanes for his teammates. He remains the most dangerous gravitational force in the sport, but this early stretch reveals a superstar whose nightly value is heavily dictated by shot selection rather than sheer volume.
Stephen Curry's mid-season campaign was defined by extreme volatility, turning into a chaotic tug-of-war between his legendary offensive gravity and the mounting costs of forced shot selection. On Dec 25 vs DAL, he scored 23 points but posted a disastrous -7.1 impact score because a brutal 2-for-10 shooting night from beyond the arc and repeatedly forced looks cratered his overall value. Similarly, his 23-point outing on Jan 30 vs DET dragged him into the red with a -2.4 impact, as heavy defensive attention baited him into contested, low-percentage heaves that actively disrupted the offense. Yet, his mere presence on the floor remains a terrifying weapon. Look at Jan 25 vs MIN. Despite uncharacteristic perimeter bricklaying on 3-of-10 shooting from deep, he generated a massive +16.7 impact score. His relentless off-ball movement completely warped the opposing defensive shell, and he supplemented his scoring with a surprisingly robust +8.8 defensive metric to dominate the game without a hot hand.
IMPACT TIMELINE
Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.
Very consistent. Curry posts positive impact in 84% of games — you almost always get a productive night. Scoring varies by ~10 points, but the overall contribution stays positive.
Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 56% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.
Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Curry locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.
Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: +15.6, second-half: +11.3. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.
Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 14 games. Longest cold streak: 1 games.
MATCHUP HISTORY
Based on 39 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.
ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM
His shooting stats against each primary defender this season
ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED
How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.
SEASON STATS
GAME LOG
45 games played
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