2025-26 Season

GUI SANTOS

Golden State Warriors | Forward | 6-7

2025-26 Season

GUI SANTOS

Golden State Warriors | Forward | 6-7 | Yr 2

9.3 PPG

4.0 RPG

2.4 APG

20.8 MPG

-1.9 Impact

Santos produces at an below average rate for a 21-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN

Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average

-1.9

Scoring +8.5

Points 9.3 PPG = +6.5

Shot Making above expected FG% = +2.0

Creation +0.6

Creation 2.4 AST/g = +0.6

Turnovers -3.5

Turnovers 1.6/g = -3.5

Defense +0.2

Defense 0.9 STL, 0.3 BLK = +0.2

Hustle & Effort +3.5

Rebounds 4.0 RPG = +3.5

Raw Impact +9.3

Baseline (game-average expected) −11.2

Net Impact

-1.9

41st pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

TEAM COMPARISON

Impact

Creation

Hustle

Defense

of 19 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)

Jimmy Butler III +15.0 Stephen Curry +13.1 Brandin Podziemski +5.2 Kristaps Porziņģis +3.4 Moses Moody +3.0 De'Anthony Melton +1.4 Jonathan Kuminga +1.2 Gary Payton II +0.4 Gui Santos +0.2 Al Horford -0.1 Buddy Hield -0.8 Trayce Jackson-Davis -1.2 Quinten Post -1.7 Nate Williams -2.5 Pat Spencer -3.0 Will Richard -3.3 LJ Cryer -3.4 Malevy Leons -4.8 Draymond Green -5.2

Similar Players

Same position, closest production profile this season.

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 234 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 57th

10.2 PPG

Efficiency 82th

61.7% TS

Playmaking 77th

2.7 APG

Rebounding 54th

4.4 RPG

Defense 78th

+9.5/g

Hustle 53th

+12.7/g

Creation 50th

+2.38/g

Shot Making 67th

+7.04/g

TO Discipline 11th

0.07/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Gui Santos spent the first quarter of the 2025-26 season trapped in fringe-rotation purgatory, battling erratic minutes and a frequent inability to match the speed of the NBA game. His struggles were glaring during a disastrous stint on 10/24 vs POR, where a passive approach and hesitation on open catches resulted in a brutal -8.4 impact score. Even when handed a rare starting nod on 11/19 vs MIA, he was an active detriment. His shot selection completely abandoned him in that contest, leading to an ugly -3.9 impact score as he forced terrible looks to finish with just 4 points on 1-for-7 shooting. However, he occasionally found ways to drive winning basketball without dominating the box score. On 12/20 vs PHX, Santos generated a massive +6.4 impact score despite tallying a meager 5 points. He maximized that fleeting seven-minute cameo by combining hyper-efficient finishing with stout defensive execution to anchor the second unit.

This stretch of the season was defined by a chaotic metamorphosis, as Gui Santos evolved from a hesitant rotational afterthought into a hyper-efficient two-way terror. His early outings were bizarre but effective, perfectly captured on 12/22 vs ORL where he took zero shots in 10 minutes yet generated a +2.6 impact simply by hustling and making the right reads without the ball. However, increased volume did not always translate to winning basketball. During a start on 01/26 vs MIN, Santos posted a double-double with 11 points and 10 rebounds, but poor shot selection—including a brutal 1-for-6 from deep—dragged his overall impact down to -4.0. He found his true calling card by becoming an absolute menace on the defensive end. On 01/13 vs POR, his flawless rotations and switchability broke the game wide open, resulting in a staggering +12.6 impact despite scoring just 6 points. By the end of this run, Santos had married his defensive intensity with surgical offensive precision to become an indispensable piece of the starting lineup.

A maddeningly volatile stretch of basketball defined Gui Santos’s midseason run, oscillating wildly between brilliant two-way efficiency and destructive perimeter chucking. When he abandoned the offensive flow to hunt his own shots, the hidden costs were disastrous. Look at the 03/10 vs CHI matchup, where he scored an above-average 17 points but posted a catastrophic -15.0 impact score because forcing contested looks early in the clock actively sabotaged his team's rhythm. Conversely, when Santos committed to the dirty work, his non-scoring value skyrocketed. During the 02/25 vs MEM game, he generated a massive +11.5 impact score on a modest 17 points, completely altering the game through elite defensive positioning and relentless off-ball movement. He finally married high usage with smart decisions on 03/25 vs BKN. Pouring in 31 points on 11-for-16 shooting, Santos earned a +8.0 impact by ruthlessly punishing the defense with impeccable shot selection rather than settling for bad looks.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

Best Game

22 PTS vs OKC

Mar 07 | +19.5 impact

Worst Game

0 PTS vs HOU

Nov 27 | -17.9 impact

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Santos's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~7 points per game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 59% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Santos locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

Getting better as the season goes on. First-half impact: -6.7, second-half: +3.0. That's a significant jump — could be a role change, confidence, or development clicking.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 5 games. Longest cold streak: 16 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 75 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.