2025-26 Season
AL HORFORD
2025-26 Season
AL HORFORD
PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology
TEAM COMPARISON
of 19 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)
Similar Players
Same position, closest production profile this season.
SKILL DNA
Percentile rank vs 93 Centers with 10+ games
THE SEASON SO FAR
Al Horford's early 2025-26 campaign was defined by extreme offensive volatility. Operating mostly off the bench, the veteran big man oscillated wildly between pristine floor-spacing and brutal shooting slumps. Look at his disastrous night on 11/05 vs SAC, where he missed all eight of his field goal attempts to post a brutal -8.3 impact score. Clanking every single perimeter look severely punished his overall value, allowing defenders to completely ignore him on the perimeter. Yet, when his jumper actually connected, his veteran savvy completely tilted games. On 12/25 vs DAL, he drilled four triples in a mere 11 minutes to yield an astronomical +14.5 impact score by punishing late defensive rotations. Even when his scoring volume vanished, he could salvage shifts through elite awareness, like on 11/21 vs POR. Despite scoring just seven points, he generated a robust +5.4 impact because his masterful positional defense (+12.2 def) consistently blew up opposing pick-and-roll actions.
This twenty-game stretch was defined by wild volatility, with Al Horford oscillating between a spacing liability and a two-way master depending entirely on his perimeter stroke. When his shot betrayed him, the offensive costs were disastrous. During the 02/19 vs BOS matchup, he managed just 5 points and a dismal -12.8 impact score because his 1-of-6 shooting from deep severely cramped the half-court spacing. Even when his shot fell, hidden defensive flaws occasionally dragged him into the red; in the 02/05 vs PHX game, his 13 points were negated by a -0.2 impact because he struggled to contain quicker forwards. Yet, Horford remained entirely capable of dominating games without filling up the scoring column. Look at the 01/28 vs UTA contest, where he scored a modest 9 points but generated a massive +8.3 impact by neutralizing opposing drives with textbook verticality and dishing out 8 assists. When everything clicked simultaneously, he was devastating. He delivered an absolute masterclass during the 02/22 vs DEN game, draining six triples for 22 points and anchoring the defense with elite positioning to post a staggering +22.2 impact score.
IMPACT TIMELINE
Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.
Boom-or-bust player. Horford's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~5 points per game.
Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 44% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.
Defensive difference-maker. Horford consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.
Slight upward trend. First-half impact: -1.0, second-half: +0.7. Modest improvement — possibly settling into a rhythm.
In a rough stretch — 5 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 6 games.
MATCHUP HISTORY
Based on 46 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.
ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM
His shooting stats against each primary defender this season
ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED
How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.
SEASON STATS
GAME LOG
48 games played
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