Accountability
MODEL ACCURACY
We track every prediction the Net Impact model makes. No cherry-picking. No hiding bad calls. If the model is wrong, you should know.
Tracking begins with 2025-26 playoffs
Tracking begins with 2025-26 playoffs
Tracking begins with 2025-26 playoffs
WHY WE PUBLISH THIS
Most analytics platforms hide their track record. They'll tell you their model is great, but they won't show you the receipts. We think that's backwards.
Net Impact is a work in progress. The model gets better every season as we add more training data and refine our approach. Publishing accuracy isn't about bragging — it's about accountability. If we're making predictions in our game analyses, you deserve to know how often we're right.
Every prediction we make — player prop calls in the Betting & Fantasy Angles section, implied game outcomes from our Net Impact projections, spread leans — gets logged here with the actual result. No edits, no deletions.
WHAT WE TRACK
Player Props
When our analysis calls out a specific player prop angle (e.g., "Luka Over 25.5 points"), we log the call and whether it hit.
Game Outcomes
Net Impact projections imply expected winners. We track how often the higher-projected team actually wins.
Spread & Total Leans
When the Betting Angles section identifies a spread or total lean, we log the pick and track the result against the closing line.
Net Impact vs Box Score
We track how often Net Impact identifies the game's most impactful player differently than the box score leader. Spoiler: it's a lot.
Detailed prediction logs will be available here once tracking is active.
See How Net Impact Works