2025-26 Season

SPENCER JONES

Denver Nuggets | Forward | 6-7

2025-26 Season

SPENCER JONES

Denver Nuggets | Forward | 6-7 | Yr 1

5.5 PPG

3.2 RPG

0.8 APG

21.9 MPG

-5.3 Impact

Jones produces at an poor rate for a 22-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN

Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average

-5.3

Scoring +5.0

Points 5.5 PPG = +3.7

Shot Making above expected FG% = +1.3

Creation +0.3

Creation 0.8 AST/g = +0.3

Turnovers -1.2

Turnovers 0.5/g = -1.2

Defense -0.7

Defense 0.8 STL, 0.4 BLK = -0.7

Hustle & Effort +3.1

Rebounds 3.2 RPG = +3.1

Raw Impact +6.5

Baseline (game-average expected) −11.8

Net Impact

-5.3

15th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

TEAM COMPARISON

#13

Impact

#13

Creation

Hustle

Defense

of 13 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)

Nikola Jokić +29.1 Jamal Murray +16.5 Aaron Gordon +7.6 Peyton Watson +2.9 Tim Hardaway Jr. +2.2 Christian Braun +1.7 Cameron Johnson +1.4 Jonas Valančiūnas -1.2 Julian Strawther -2.1 Bruce Brown -2.9 Zeke Nnaji -3.7 Jalen Pickett -4.0 Spencer Jones -4.3

Similar Players

Same position, closest production profile this season.

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 234 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 21th

5.8 PPG

Efficiency 53th

56.9% TS

Playmaking 13th

0.8 APG

Rebounding 33th

3.4 RPG

Defense 28th

+5.4/g

Hustle 39th

+10.8/g

Creation 24th

+1.71/g

Shot Making 51th

+5.88/g

TO Discipline 96th

0.02/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Spencer Jones's first twenty games were defined by a drastic role change that transformed him from an invisible bench warmer into a wildly volatile starter. He initially scraped by on the fringes of the rotation, managing a +4.7 impact score on 11/19 vs NOP despite scoring exactly zero points. That surprising positive rating stemmed entirely from sheer effort and brilliant defensive positioning, allowing him to create tangible value without even attempting a field goal. His sudden promotion to the starting unit, however, exposed glaring defensive liabilities against quicker guards. This was painfully obvious on 11/22 vs SAC, where an inability to stay in front of his assignment at the point of attack dragged him to a catastrophic -16.2 impact mark. Fortunately, he eventually found his rhythm as an offensive focal point a few weeks later. Catching fire from the perimeter on 12/01 vs DAL, Jones poured in 28 points and completely altered the defense's geometry to earn a dominant +12.1 impact score.

Spencer Jones spent this stretch trapped in a maddening Jekyll-and-Hyde routine, oscillating wildly between lethal perimeter sniping and catastrophic decision-making. His box score frequently lied. Look no further than the 01/20 vs LAL matchup, where a 16-point outburst was completely ruined by late-game defensive miscommunications that dragged his impact down to a dismal -3.1. Even when he finished efficiently inside on 01/14 vs DAL, a brutal string of live-ball turnovers erased his 10 points and resulted in a terrible -9.3 impact score. Yet, he could occasionally flip the script and win minutes without scoring. During the 01/04 vs BKN game, Jones managed a meager three points but still posted a +3.4 impact because his suffocating effort yielded a +9.1 defensive rating. Ultimately, these brilliant flashes of situational value were too often buried under awful shot selection and passive stretches.

A suffocating offensive slump and a subsequent demotion to the bench defined Spencer Jones's midseason stretch. He began this period as a starter but immediately cratered on 01/29 vs BKN, posting a catastrophic -12.3 impact score driven by a complete failure to connect on any field goal attempts. Opposing defenses quickly realized they could simply abandon him in the halfcourt. This glaring passivity was painfully obvious on 03/20 vs TOR, where operating as an absolute ghost offensively dragged his impact down to -5.3 despite a four-assist effort. He did offer one fleeting glimpse of two-way dominance during a spot start on 03/12 vs SAS. An unexpected 19-point offensive explosion paired with relentless point-of-attack defense fueled a massive +12.2 impact score. Unfortunately, that aggressive mindset vanished just as quickly as it arrived.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

Best Game

28 PTS vs DAL

Dec 02 | +18.6 impact

Worst Game

1 PTS vs SAC

Nov 23 | -17.1 impact

PATTERNS

Struggling. Jones has posted negative impact in 82% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Reliable shooter — hits 45%+ from the field in 72% of games. You can count on efficient nights more often than not.

Average defender. Jones doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

In a rough stretch — 8 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 14 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 68 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.