POR

2025-26 Season

ROBERT WILLIAMS III

Portland Trail Blazers | Center-Forward | 6-9
Robert Williams III
6.7 PPG
7.0 RPG
1.0 APG
17.1 MPG
+3.2 Impact

III produces at an above average rate for a 17-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+3.2
Scoring +6.1
Points 6.7 PPG = +5.3
Shot Making above expected FG% = +0.8
Creation +0.6
Creation 1.0 AST/g = +0.6
Turnovers -1.8
Turnovers 0.8/g = -1.8
Defense +0.5
Defense 0.6 STL, 1.5 BLK = +0.5
Hustle & Effort +7.6
Rebounds 7.0 RPG = +7.6
Raw Impact +13.0
Baseline (game-average expected) −9.8
Net Impact
+3.2
58th pctl vs Centers

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 93 Centers with 10+ games

Scoring 34th
6.8 PPG
Efficiency 94th
70.0% TS
Playmaking 31th
1.0 APG
Rebounding 65th
7.1 RPG
Defense 46th
+6.0/g
Hustle 50th
+16.8/g
Creation 59th
+2.51/g
Shot Making 22th
+2.67/g
TO Discipline 55th
0.05/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Robert Williams III spent his first twenty games operating as the ultimate low-minute, high-leverage defensive weapon. Even when his scoring output barely registered, he routinely tilted the floor through terrifying rim deterrence and relentless vertical spacing. Look at the 11/24 vs MIL matchup. He recorded just eight points, yet his lob-threat gravity and elite rim protection completely terrorized the interior to yield a staggering +19.0 impact score. He replicated that exact formula during the 11/26 vs SAS game, generating a +14.4 impact score through phenomenal weak-side shot blocking rather than offensive volume. However, his overall value plummets whenever that baseline offensive efficiency vanishes. During the 12/18 vs SAC contest, an uncharacteristically quiet offensive night broke his streak of flawless finishing around the basket, dragging him down to a harsh -7.2 impact score. As long as he stays within his specialized role, Williams remains an utterly lethal backup big.

Flawless interior finishing and terrifying rim deterrence defined this dominant stretch as a second-unit anchor for Robert Williams III. He routinely warped the geometry of the court without needing the ball, perfectly illustrated during 01/22 vs MIA. Despite scoring just 4 points, he posted a massive +12.8 impact score by erasing mistakes at the basket and generating a stellar +16.8 defensive impact. When he actually looked for his own offense, he was virtually automatic as a lob threat. During 02/06 vs MEM, his devastating roll gravity and perfect 6-for-6 shooting from the floor fueled a +11.3 impact. Still, his extreme offensive passivity did occasionally backfire. In a brief 7-minute cameo on 01/09 vs HOU, he operated strictly as a passive screener without attempting a single shot, resulting in a -3.2 impact. Fortunately, he quickly abandoned that hesitation, capping the stretch on 02/26 vs CHI with 14 points, 14 rebounds, and a +12.6 impact by absolutely dominating the paint on both ends.

This late-season stretch was defined by sheer terror at the rim, as Robert Williams III morphed into a destructive backup big man who rarely needed the basketball to dominate. He completely overwhelmed the opposition on Mar 04 vs MEM, dropping 20 points and 11 rebounds to generate a monstrous +26.6 impact score. That astronomical rating stemmed directly from unrelenting vertical spacing and elite pick-and-roll finishing that warped the opposing defense. Even when his scoring vanished, his defensive footprint remained massive. During a quiet six-point outing on Mar 15 vs PHI, Williams still posted a +16.2 impact score because his tremendous weak-side shot deterrence (+11.7 defense) terrified drivers. However, his offensive limitations occasionally caught up to him. On Mar 20 vs MIN, a surprisingly ineffective finishing night around the basket (1-for-4 shooting) dragged him to a -2.5 impact score, as his rim deterrence could not overcome his offensive struggles. As long as he stays within his role as a lob threat and glass-cleaner, Williams remains an absolute luxury for a second unit.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Volatile for his role. III has noticeable ups and downs, with scoring moving ~4 points between games.

Reliable shooter — hits 45%+ from the field in 88% of games. You can count on efficient nights more often than not.

Defensive difference-maker. III consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Slight upward trend. First-half impact: +1.9, second-half: +4.5. Modest improvement — possibly settling into a rhythm.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 6 games. Longest cold streak: 4 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 75 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

N. Jokić 49.1 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 6
K. Towns 39.4 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 8
N. Richards 36.8 poss
FG% 83.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 10
A. Drummond 34.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 3
D. Cardwell 34.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
S. Adams 32.8 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 5
R. Kalkbrenner 32.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 4
C. Capela 30.9 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2
D. Queen 30.2 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 6
J. Duren 29.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 4

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

N. Jokić 39.6 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 11
R. Kalkbrenner 37.5 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 4
A. Drummond 36.6 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 2
D. Cardwell 35.4 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 9
N. Richards 26.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 4
R. Gobert 24.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 4
Y. Missi 24.4 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 4
A. Thompson 23.7 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 7
C. Capela 23.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
D. Queen 23.4 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 7

SEASON STATS

60
Games
6.7
PPG
7.0
RPG
1.0
APG
0.6
SPG
1.5
BPG
69.5
FG%
37.5
3P%
59.6
FT%
17.1
MPG

GAME LOG

60 games played