HOU

2025-26 Season

REED SHEPPARD

Houston Rockets | Guard | 6-2
Reed Sheppard
13.6 PPG
2.9 RPG
3.4 APG
26.3 MPG
+2.2 Impact

Sheppard produces at an above average rate for a 26-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+2.2
Scoring +12.2
Points 13.6 PPG = +8.5
Shot Making above expected FG% = +3.7
Creation +1.0
Creation 3.4 AST/g = +1.0
Turnovers -3.5
Turnovers 1.5/g = -3.5
Defense +1.6
Defense 1.5 STL, 0.7 BLK = +1.6
Hustle & Effort +1.5
Rebounds 2.9 RPG = +1.5
Raw Impact +12.8
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.6
Net Impact
+2.2
70th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 245 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 70th
13.6 PPG
Efficiency 62th
56.5% TS
Playmaking 63th
3.4 APG
Rebounding 51th
2.9 RPG
Defense 97th
+13.3/g
Hustle 76th
+11.4/g
Creation 79th
+3.95/g
Shot Making 86th
+9.09/g
TO Discipline 47th
0.06/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

A volatile ascension from bench sparkplug to spot-starter defined Reed Sheppard’s opening twenty games. During his 11/26 vs GSW start, Sheppard delivered an absolute offensive masterclass, racking up 31 points and a +11.1 impact score by punishing defenses with decisive reads and blistering perimeter shooting. He managed to heavily influence winning even when his jumper abandoned him, like on 11/30 vs UTA. Despite scoring just 9 points in that contest, he generated a robust +5.7 impact score through sheer defensive tenacity, racking up deflections and stringing together crucial perimeter stops to create value without the ball. That margin for error vanished when his defensive motor idled. On 12/01 vs UTA, he hovered aimlessly around the arc, rendering himself entirely one-dimensional and plummeting to a -5.1 impact score. This initial stretch reveals a highly disruptive guard who thrives on relentless hustle, but who still battles the stark inconsistency typical of a young perimeter creator.

A frustrating tug-of-war between lethal shot-making and reckless decision-making defined this turbulent stretch for Reed Sheppard. When his jumper was dialed in, he looked utterly unstoppable. He poured in 28 points during the 12/20 vs DEN matchup, hunting high-value looks from deep to earn a massive +15.8 impact score. Yet, the very next night on 12/21 vs SAC, that exact same confidence curdled into pure arrogance. Despite scoring a respectable 15 points, his abysmal shot selection and nine missed field goals created a massive drag on the offense, resulting in a brutal -13.9 impact mark. High point totals frequently masked hidden costs for the rookie guard. During the 01/09 vs POR contest, he managed 20 points in 34 minutes, but by forcing the issue offensively and racking up empty possessions, his net impact stalled out at a meager +1.5. Until he stops bleeding points on the defensive end and reels in his erratic shot selection, his nightly value will remain a complete coin flip.

A violent swing from frigid liability to scorching-hot catalyst defined this stretch for Reed Sheppard. Early on, rushed decision-making and errant perimeter bricks completely destroyed his offensive gravity. The absolute nadir arrived on 01/26 vs MEM. He missed all seven of his three-point attempts in just 15 minutes, suffering a disastrous -13.7 impact score. Yet, he eventually flipped the script by pairing smarter shot selection with relentless defensive pressure. Even when his shot returned, defensive lapses could still sink his overall value. Despite hitting five threes for 15 points on 02/23 vs UTA, point-of-attack vulnerabilities bled points the other way and dragged him down to a -1.5 impact. He finally put the entire two-way package together on 03/05 vs GSW, torching defenders for 30 points to drive a massive +7.8 impact.

A maddening tug-of-war between brilliant orchestration and catastrophic shot selection defined Reed Sheppard’s late-season stretch. He could look like an absolute maestro one night, only to shoot his team out of the building the next. Look at Mar 21 vs MIA, where he carved up the defense with elite vision, dropping 23 points and 14 assists to drive a massive +22.9 impact score. Contrast that with Mar 08 vs SAS. Despite scoring a respectable 17 points, he posted a disastrous -19.9 impact score because his shot selection devolved into forcing contested perimeter looks early in the clock. When his jumper completely abandoned him, he had to rely on sheer effort to survive on the floor. During the Apr 09 vs PHI matchup, he managed just 6 points on ugly 2-for-7 shooting, yet still salvaged a +0.9 overall impact by relying on stout point-of-attack defense (+5.0 defensive impact) to disrupt the opponent.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Sheppard's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~6 points per game.

Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 40% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.

Defensive difference-maker. Sheppard consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 8 games. Longest cold streak: 4 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 75 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

B. Brown 71.6 poss
FG% 27.8%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 16
D. Harper 62.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.18
PTS 11
D. Mitchell 52.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 8
B. Carrington 51.8 poss
FG% 71.4%
3P% 75.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 13
D. Fox 48.1 poss
FG% 30.0%
3P% 22.2%
PPP 0.21
PTS 10
K. George 46.7 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.17
PTS 8
T. Jones 45.8 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.04
PTS 2
J. Alvarado 45.4 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 11
B. Williams 43.9 poss
FG% 71.4%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.27
PTS 12
C. Wallace 39.8 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.2
PTS 8

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

B. Brown 69.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 13
N. Clifford 67.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 9
D. Mitchell 62.4 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 8
J. Konchar 51.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
L. Kennard 43.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 5
J. Champagnie 43.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 9
T. Hardaway Jr. 40.8 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 10
D. Harper 40.4 poss
FG% 61.5%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.42
PTS 17
S. Mykhailiuk 35.5 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 9
J. Alvarado 35.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.23
PTS 8

SEASON STATS

83
Games
13.6
PPG
2.9
RPG
3.4
APG
1.5
SPG
0.7
BPG
42.8
FG%
39.3
3P%
80.2
FT%
26.3
MPG

GAME LOG

83 games played