2025-26 Season

NIKOLA JOKIĆ

Denver Nuggets | Center | 6-11

2025-26 Season

NIKOLA JOKIĆ

Denver Nuggets | Center | 6-11 | Yr 10

27.6 PPG

12.9 RPG

10.7 APG

34.9 MPG

+29.1 Impact

Jokić produces at an elite rate for a 35-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN

Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average

+29.1

Scoring +27.1

Points 27.6 PPG = +21.6

Shot Making above expected FG% = +5.5

Creation +1.5

Creation 10.7 AST/g = +1.5

Turnovers -8.8

Turnovers 3.8/g = -8.8

Defense +1.5

Defense 1.4 STL, 0.8 BLK = +1.5

Hustle & Effort +12.8

Rebounds 12.9 RPG = +12.8

Raw Impact +34.1

Baseline (game-average expected) −5.0

Net Impact

+29.1

100th pctl vs Centers

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

TEAM COMPARISON

Impact

Creation

Hustle

Defense

of 13 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)

Nikola Jokić +29.1 Jamal Murray +16.5 Aaron Gordon +7.6 Peyton Watson +2.9 Tim Hardaway Jr. +2.2 Christian Braun +1.7 Cameron Johnson +1.4 Jonas Valančiūnas -1.2 Julian Strawther -2.1 Bruce Brown -2.9 Zeke Nnaji -3.7 Jalen Pickett -4.0 Spencer Jones -4.3

Similar Players

Same position, closest production profile this season.

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 93 Centers with 10+ games

Scoring 99th

27.6 PPG

Efficiency 90th

68.5% TS

Playmaking 99th

10.7 APG

Rebounding 99th

12.9 RPG

Defense 98th

+11.7/g

Hustle 94th

+25.7/g

Creation 94th

+5.04/g

Shot Making 98th

+10.72/g

TO Discipline 1th

0.11/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Nikola Jokić’s opening stretch of the 2025-26 campaign was defined by wild swings between offensive perfection and defensive apathy. He dictated terms without even looking at the rim during the 10/25 vs PHX matchup. Despite scoring a meager 14 points, his masterful offensive orchestration and elite defensive rebounding drove a +6.1 impact score. Then came the scoring binges. He peaked with a historic explosion on 11/12 vs LAC, systematically dismantling the defense for 55 points on 18-of-23 shooting to generate an off-the-charts +36.1 impact score. Yet, hidden costs occasionally ravaged his bottom line. Look no further than the 11/19 vs NOP game. Despite pouring in 28 points and 12 assists, his overall impact sank to -3.9 because defensive transition vulnerabilities bled points the other way.

This stretch of the season was defined by extreme volatility, where Nikola Jokić toggled between absolute basketball nirvana and bizarre defensive apathy. Look no further than 12/05 vs ATL, where he dropped 40 points but managed a meager +1.1 impact score because his atrocious -19.4 defensive rating gave back nearly everything his scoring created. Similarly, a massive 30-point triple-double on 02/04 vs NYK yielded just a +1.9 impact, heavily taxed by an abysmal 1-for-13 shooting night from beyond the arc and lazy defensive rotations. Yet, when he engaged as a pure facilitator, his value skyrocketed even without looking at the rim. On 12/22 vs UTA, he scored just 14 points on seven shots, but generated a +15.3 impact through brilliant playmaking and active effort on the margins (+5.0 hustle score). When his defensive intensity finally matched his offensive intellect, as it did on 02/07 vs CHI, he was entirely untouchable. He orchestrated a staggering +34.1 impact in that contest, pairing 17 assists with flawless decision-making and a dominant +12.4 defensive score to completely break the opponent's spirit.

A bizarre tug-of-war between offensive mastery and glaring defensive apathy defined this baffling stretch of the season. Look no further than 03/27 vs UTA, where he posted a monstrous 33 points, 15 rebounds, and 12 assists on hyper-efficient shooting, yet suffered a staggering -11.1 impact score. The hidden cost was a catastrophic -27.1 defensive mark that completely bled away his surgical high-post precision. His aggression could swing wildly the other way, as seen on 03/17 vs PHI. He fell into an extreme passive streak, attempting just seven shots for 8 points, which severely hindered the starting unit's ceiling and dragged his impact down to -7.8. Conversely, when he actually engaged his physical tools without needing a heavy scoring load, the results were elite. During the 03/11 vs HOU matchup, he only tallied 16 points but generated a robust +13.6 impact score because masterful playmaking and dominant defensive positioning anchored the lineup. He remains the smartest player in basketball, but these wild fluctuations reveal a superstar occasionally bored by the daily grind.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

Best Game

55 PTS vs LAC

Nov 13 | +73.2 impact

Worst Game

8 PTS vs PHI

Mar 17 | -8.2 impact

PATTERNS

Very consistent. Jokić posts positive impact in 98% of games — you almost always get a productive night. Scoring varies by ~9 points, but the overall contribution stays positive.

Reliable shooter — hits 45%+ from the field in 89% of games. You can count on efficient nights more often than not.

Defensive difference-maker. Jokić consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: +32.6, second-half: +25.6. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.

Hot right now — 13 straight games with positive impact. Longest positive run this season: 52 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 59 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.