2025-26 Season

MORITZ WAGNER

Orlando Magic | Forward-Center | 6-11

2025-26 Season

MORITZ WAGNER

Orlando Magic | Forward-Center | 6-11 | Yr 7

6.7 PPG

3.2 RPG

0.7 APG

11.7 MPG

-3.3 Impact

Wagner produces at an below average rate for a 12-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN

Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average

-3.3

Scoring +5.3

Points 6.7 PPG = +4.1

Shot Making above expected FG% = +1.2

Creation +0.4

Creation 0.7 AST/g = +0.4

Turnovers -1.3

Turnovers 0.5/g = -1.3

Defense -0.1

Defense 0.4 STL, 0.1 BLK = -0.1

Hustle & Effort +2.3

Rebounds 3.2 RPG = +2.3

Raw Impact +6.6

Baseline (game-average expected) −9.9

Net Impact

-3.3

29th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

TEAM COMPARISON

#10

Impact

#11

Creation

#13

Hustle

#14

Defense

of 16 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)

Franz Wagner +11.1 Desmond Bane +10.9 Paolo Banchero +10.7 Wendell Carter Jr. +5.2 Anthony Black +3.5 Jalen Suggs +2.5 Tristan da Silva +0.7 Goga Bitadze -0.0 Jamal Cain -0.1 Moritz Wagner -1.7 Jett Howard -2.8 Jase Richardson -3.1 Jevon Carter -3.2 Jonathan Isaac -3.5 Noah Penda -3.7 Tyus Jones -7.2

Similar Players

Same position, closest production profile this season.

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 234 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 38th

7.5 PPG

Efficiency 26th

53.0% TS

Playmaking 12th

0.8 APG

Rebounding 38th

3.6 RPG

Defense 17th

+4.7/g

Hustle 12th

+7.5/g

Creation 29th

+1.83/g

Shot Making 18th

+3.29/g

TO Discipline 59th

0.04/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Moritz Wagner spent this twenty-game stretch weaponizing his energy, turning short rotation stints into high-impact wrecking ball sessions. He thrives on pure, unadulterated chaos. When his offensive touch aligns with that motor, he is downright lethal. He completely dismantled a contender on 02/09 vs MIL, logging an elite +13.4 impact driven by an explosive scoring surge and relentless interior finishing. Even when his shot volume vanishes, he finds ways to tilt the floor. He managed a positive +0.7 impact on 01/28 vs MIA despite scoring just 3 points because he brought essential spacing as a trail big and kept his feet moving defensively. Living on the edge of chaos carries hidden costs, though. Quicker guards ruthlessly targeted him in space on 01/30 vs TOR, bleeding points in drop coverage to saddle him with a rapid -3.1 impact in just three minutes.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

Best Game

14 PTS vs MIL

Feb 09 | +14.1 impact

Worst Game

1 PTS vs TOR

Jan 30 | -11.9 impact

PATTERNS

Inconsistent. Wagner has clear good-night/bad-night splits, with scoring swinging ~4 points between games. You're never quite sure which version shows up.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 41% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Average defender. Wagner doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: -0.2, second-half: -6.2. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.

In a rough stretch — 19 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 19 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 36 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.