DEN

2025-26 Season

KJ SIMPSON

Denver Nuggets | Guard | 6-2
KJ Simpson
4.5 PPG
1.9 RPG
2.1 APG
12.9 MPG
-6.7 Impact

Simpson produces at an poor rate for a 13-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-6.7
Scoring +3.1
Points 4.5 PPG = +2.0
Shot Making above expected FG% = +1.1
Creation +0.4
Creation 2.1 AST/g = +0.4
Turnovers -2.9
Turnovers 1.2/g = -2.9
Defense +1.2
Defense 0.8 STL, 0.0 BLK = +1.2
Hustle & Effort +1.5
Rebounds 1.9 RPG = +1.5
Raw Impact +3.3
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.0
Net Impact
-6.7
8th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 245 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 19th
6.0 PPG
Efficiency 12th
46.4% TS
Playmaking 54th
2.8 APG
Rebounding 33th
2.4 RPG
Defense 83th
+10.3/g
Hustle 16th
+5.4/g
Creation 4th
+0.96/g
Shot Making 15th
+4.12/g
TO Discipline 9th
0.10/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

KJ Simpson’s first twenty games were defined by a brutal offensive slump and a desperate search for rotational stability. Even when he managed a decent scoring output during the Nov 11 vs LAL matchup, his 8 points were completely erased by a disastrous -10.7 impact score. Opposing ball-handlers relentlessly exploited his poor point-of-attack defense. He earned a rare start on Dec 07 vs DEN and poured in 16 points, yet still posted a frustrating -2.6 impact. While he found success driving the ball, the hidden cost of his night was a shaky 2-for-8 clip from the perimeter that dragged down his overall efficiency. He did occasionally find ways to contribute without shooting. During a Feb 25 vs BOS appearance, Simpson managed a +2.2 impact while scoring just 2 points because he transformed into a disruptive perimeter menace who blew up multiple drives. Unfortunately, those gritty defensive flashes were too rare to salvage a deeply erratic stretch of basketball.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. Simpson has posted negative impact in 90% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 20% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Simpson locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

Slight upward trend. First-half impact: -7.8, second-half: -5.6. Modest improvement — possibly settling into a rhythm.

In a rough stretch — 8 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 10 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 20 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

P. Pritchard 18.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
M. Smart 17.5 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
I. Quickley 16.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Giddey 12.0 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.5
PTS 6
K. Wallace 12.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
V. Krejčí 11.8 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.34
PTS 4
J. Murray 11.5 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.7
PTS 8
J. Tyson 10.7 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.56
PTS 6
J. Shead 10.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
W. Clayton Jr. 10.5 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 2

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

I. Quickley 18.5 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.54
PTS 10
J. Shead 17.2 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.41
PTS 7
P. Pritchard 16.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
P. Watson 15.8 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 2
K. Wallace 15.4 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.32
PTS 5
M. Smart 14.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
V. Krejčí 13.8 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.22
PTS 3
W. Clayton Jr. 13.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
C. White 12.2 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 2
S. Jones 11.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

SEASON STATS

20
Games
4.5
PPG
1.9
RPG
2.1
APG
0.8
SPG
0.0
BPG
34.3
FG%
30.0
3P%
61.1
FT%
12.9
MPG

GAME LOG

20 games played