SAC

2025-26 Season

KILLIAN HAYES

Sacramento Kings | Guard | 6-4
Killian Hayes
5.5 PPG
2.3 RPG
3.5 APG
17.6 MPG
-7.7 Impact

Hayes produces at an poor rate for a 18-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-7.7
Scoring +3.8
Points 5.5 PPG = +2.5
Shot Making above expected FG% = +1.3
Creation +0.7
Creation 3.5 AST/g = +0.7
Turnovers -2.9
Turnovers 1.2/g = -2.9
Defense +1.0
Defense 0.9 STL, 0.2 BLK = +1.0
Hustle & Effort +1.0
Rebounds 2.3 RPG = +1.0
Raw Impact +3.6
Baseline (game-average expected) −11.3
Net Impact
-7.7
3th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 245 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 17th
5.8 PPG
Efficiency 2th
38.1% TS
Playmaking 67th
3.6 APG
Rebounding 36th
2.5 RPG
Defense 51th
+7.3/g
Hustle 2th
+2.8/g
Creation 12th
+1.52/g
Shot Making 21th
+4.52/g
TO Discipline 29th
0.07/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Killian Hayes spent this twenty-game stretch trapped in a brutal offensive wasteland, defined by crippling hesitancy and disastrous shooting efficiency. His offensive ineptitude peaked on Mar 19 vs PHI. A barrage of missed floaters and heavily contested pull-ups destroyed his value that night, resulting in an abysmal -10.5 impact score. Even when his shots actually fell, hidden costs dragged down his overall effectiveness. During a rare efficient start on Mar 11 vs CHA, he scored 11 points, yet still posted a -4.5 impact because poor game management and defensive lapses derailed the unit. The only saving grace for the struggling guard was his occasional flashes of elite perimeter pressure. He managed a highly positive +5.2 impact on Apr 01 vs TOR despite scoring just 5 points on dismal 1-for-5 shooting. Smothering point-of-attack defense completely drove that success, briefly masking a total lack of scoring gravity that otherwise severely handicapped his team.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. Hayes has posted negative impact in 91% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 31% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.

Average defender. Hayes doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

Slight upward trend. First-half impact: -8.9, second-half: -6.6. Modest improvement — possibly settling into a rhythm.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 1 games. Longest cold streak: 12 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 18 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

L. Ball 38.4 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.08
PTS 3
J. Fears 27.0 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 5
I. Collier 18.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 3
B. Sheppard 16.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
B. Mbeng 15.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 3
G. Vincent 15.0 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 3
D. Harper 15.0 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 2
R. Sheppard 14.1 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.21
PTS 3
C. Payne 12.9 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.31
PTS 4
B. Williams 12.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

L. Ball 28.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 57.1%
PPP 0.42
PTS 12
I. Collier 24.2 poss
FG% 30.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 6
J. Fears 21.7 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.14
PTS 3
G. Vincent 17.5 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
E. Harkless 16.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.37
PTS 6
R. Sheppard 15.4 poss
FG% 30.0%
3P% 28.6%
PPP 0.52
PTS 8
B. Mbeng 14.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
C. Payne 12.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
D. Harper 12.6 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.63
PTS 8
K. Jones 10.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 2

SEASON STATS

23
Games
5.5
PPG
2.3
RPG
3.5
APG
0.9
SPG
0.2
BPG
30.4
FG%
27.0
3P%
92.9
FT%
17.6
MPG

GAME LOG

23 games played