2025-26 Season

JOSH OKOGIE

Houston Rockets | Guard | 6-4

2025-26 Season

JOSH OKOGIE

Houston Rockets | Guard | 6-4 | Yr 7

4.6 PPG

2.5 RPG

0.9 APG

17.5 MPG

-5.7 Impact

Okogie produces at an poor rate for a 18-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN

Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average

-5.7

Scoring +3.7

Points 4.6 PPG = +2.7

Shot Making above expected FG% = +1.0

Creation +0.4

Creation 0.9 AST/g = +0.4

Turnovers -1.2

Turnovers 0.5/g = -1.2

Defense +0.7

Defense 0.8 STL, 0.2 BLK = +0.7

Hustle & Effort +2.4

Rebounds 2.5 RPG = +2.4

Raw Impact +6.0

Baseline (game-average expected) −11.7

Net Impact

-5.7

17th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

TEAM COMPARISON

Impact

Creation

Hustle

Defense

of 12 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)

Kevin Durant +16.1 Alperen Sengun +13.1 Amen Thompson +12.9 Jabari Smith Jr. +7.6 Steven Adams +2.8 Tari Eason +2.3 Reed Sheppard +2.2 Clint Capela -2.2 Josh Okogie -4.0 Jae'Sean Tate -4.1 Aaron Holiday -5.2 Dorian Finney-Smith -7.7

Similar Players

Same position, closest production profile this season.

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 245 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 10th

4.7 PPG

Efficiency 12th

46.2% TS

Playmaking 8th

0.9 APG

Rebounding 43th

2.6 RPG

Defense 58th

+7.6/g

Hustle 87th

+14.0/g

Creation 29th

+2.10/g

Shot Making 8th

+3.55/g

TO Discipline 88th

0.03/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Josh Okogie’s first twenty games were defined by a volatile tug-of-war between game-wrecking defensive hustle and lineup-killing offensive ineptitude. When he fully embraced his role as a disruptive pest, he generated tremendous value. Look no further than 11/14 vs POR, where he posted a massive +10.1 impact score. He earned that sky-high rating through elite defensive grit, blowing up dribble hand-offs and fighting through screens to wreck Portland's offensive sets. However, his total lack of shooting gravity frequently doomed his minutes. During the 11/26 vs GSW matchup, he logged a brutal -8.4 impact score because his relentless energy on loose-ball recoveries was entirely undone by his offensive black-hole tendencies. Things hit rock bottom on 12/25 vs LAL. Finishing with zero points and a -8.6 impact score, he forced ugly attempts in traffic that led directly to broken offensive sequences.

A crippling lack of offensive gravity defined this brutal stretch for Josh Okogie, turning him into a massive spacing liability. Opposing defenses completely ignored him on the perimeter. Look no further than the 12/21 vs SAC matchup, where his offensive invisibility severely hampered the team's flow and generated a staggering -11.5 impact score. Even when his shot actually fell during the 12/27 vs CLE contest, he still posted a -2.1 impact score. Despite scoring 8 points on highly efficient 3-of-4 shooting in that game, costly defensive lapses completely negated his brief offensive jolt. Yet, his chaotic motor occasionally salvaged his minutes without requiring him to put the ball in the basket. During the 01/09 vs POR game, Okogie managed a +2.8 impact score while scoring just 4 points, entirely because his relentless energy fueled a massive +8.5 defensive rating. He remains a deeply flawed rotation puzzle who gives back on one end exactly what he takes away on the other.

Josh Okogie’s midseason stretch was defined by catastrophic offensive spacing and empty rotational cardio, rendering him nearly unplayable on most nights. During the 02/02 vs IND matchup, he essentially ran wind sprints for 12 minutes without recording a single point, rebound, or assist, generating a dismal -6.7 impact score. Even when his perimeter shot finally fell on 03/11 vs DEN, his 12-point outburst was entirely negated by a -3.5 overall impact. A staggering -6.0 defensive score ruined that performance, revealing the hidden cost of his lapses on the other end of the floor. He did briefly flip the script on 02/25 vs SAC, posting a massive +12.3 impact alongside 14 points and 7 rebounds. That rare gem was fueled by relentless ball pressure and elite passing lane disruption rather than sheer shooting luck. Ultimately, opposing defenses spent this entire block treating him like a ghost, clogging the paint and daring the erratic wing to shoot.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

Best Game

14 PTS vs SAC

Feb 25 | +11.4 impact

Worst Game

0 PTS vs LAC

Feb 11 | -19.6 impact

PATTERNS

Struggling. Okogie has posted negative impact in 78% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 57% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Okogie locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

Small downward trend. First-half impact: -4.9, second-half: -6.5. Not alarming yet, but trending the wrong direction.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 2 games. Longest cold streak: 22 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 75 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.