2025-26 Season
JIMMY BUTLER III
2025-26 Season
JIMMY BUTLER III
PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology
TEAM COMPARISON
of 19 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)
Similar Players
Same position, closest production profile this season.
SKILL DNA
Percentile rank vs 234 Forwards with 10+ games
THE SEASON SO FAR
A relentless barrage of physical foul-drawing and surgical mid-range orchestration defined Jimmy Butler III's early-season campaign. Even when his box score looked brilliant on paper, hidden costs occasionally spoiled the results. Take the 10/27 vs MEM matchup, where hyper-efficient shot selection yielded 20 points but masked underlying issues that dragged his impact score down to a disappointing -3.7. Conversely, he could entirely dictate the game's flow without demanding heavy shot volume. During the 11/11 vs OKC tilt, Butler managed a mere 12 points but still generated a robust +9.1 impact by anchoring the scheme with elite defensive positioning and disruptive passing lane activity. When he fully weaponized his physicality, the numbers were devastating. He set a brutal tone early on 10/21 vs LAL, punishing aggressive closeouts and leveraging elite foul generation to drive a massive +15.4 impact. He remains an absolute master at manipulating tempo, extracting maximum value from defensive reads and hustle plays to break the spirit of opposing wings.
IMPACT TIMELINE
Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.
Very consistent. III posts positive impact in 95% of games — you almost always get a productive night. Scoring varies by ~7 points, but the overall contribution stays positive.
Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 68% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.
Defensive difference-maker. III consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.
Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: +16.8, second-half: +12.7. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.
Hot right now — 18 straight games with positive impact. Longest positive run this season: 18 games.
MATCHUP HISTORY
Based on 39 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.
ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM
His shooting stats against each primary defender this season
ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED
How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.
SEASON STATS
GAME LOG
38 games played
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