ORL

2025-26 Season

JEVON CARTER

Orlando Magic | Guard | 6-0
Jevon Carter
6.3 PPG
1.6 RPG
1.6 APG
16.1 MPG
-4.1 Impact

Carter produces at an below average rate for a 16-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-4.1
Scoring +5.6
Points 6.3 PPG = +3.7
Shot Making above expected FG% = +1.9
Creation +0.3
Creation 1.6 AST/g = +0.3
Turnovers -1.5
Turnovers 0.7/g = -1.5
Defense +0.7
Defense 0.7 STL, 0.2 BLK = +0.7
Hustle & Effort +0.9
Rebounds 1.6 RPG = +0.9
Raw Impact +6.0
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.1
Net Impact
-4.1
30th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 245 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 32th
7.4 PPG
Efficiency 34th
52.7% TS
Playmaking 32th
1.9 APG
Rebounding 17th
2.0 RPG
Defense 34th
+5.7/g
Hustle 10th
+4.4/g
Creation 14th
+1.58/g
Shot Making 24th
+4.81/g
TO Discipline 76th
0.04/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Jevon Carter's early-season stretch was defined by a maddening Jekyll-and-Hyde act where he oscillated between game-changing defensive menace and trigger-happy offensive liability. When he operated strictly within the flow of the offense, he thrived. He posted a massive +10.0 impact score on 11/12 vs DET with just 11 points because his flawless perimeter execution and timely corner spacing punished the defense perfectly. However, his erratic shot selection frequently derailed the second unit. Look at his 11/17 vs DEN outing: he scored 15 points, yet barely registered a blip with a -0.1 impact score because that production was artificially inflated by a barrage of deep, low-percentage heaves that masked poor overall play. He actively harmed his team again on 11/21 vs MIA, recording a dismal -6.2 impact score despite scoring 10 points because he settled exclusively for terrible perimeter bombs. While his relentless point-of-attack harassment occasionally swung momentum, his refusal to rein in his jump shot made him a wildly unpredictable rotational gamble.

This mid-season stretch was defined by a maddening Jekyll-and-Hyde offensive identity where trigger-happy shot selection frequently sabotaged Carter's defensive hustle. Look at the 02/21 vs PHX game as a prime example of his flaws. He scored 15 points in 33 minutes, but his -1.8 impact score reflected the hidden cost of jacking up 11 three-point attempts with highly erratic results. Things hit rock bottom during the 03/08 vs MIL matchup, where he posted a brutal -8.8 impact score because his habit of settling for contested, early-clock jumpers completely derailed the team's rhythm. He did find brief moments of two-way harmony, like on 02/19 vs SAC. In that contest, an unexpected scoring surge of 14 points on an efficient 5-of-8 from the floor provided a crucial spark, yielding a massive +6.0 impact score. Unfortunately, those efficient flashes were rare anomalies in a block of games where his penchant for excessive chucking routinely bogged down the second unit.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. Carter has posted negative impact in 76% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 34% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Carter locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

Slight upward trend. First-half impact: -4.9, second-half: -3.2. Modest improvement — possibly settling into a rhythm.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 2 games. Longest cold streak: 10 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 73 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

C. Gillespie 37.5 poss
FG% 16.7%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 3
B. Carrington 36.6 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 3
D. Schröder 32.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 6
R. Nembhard 27.7 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 2
T. McConnell 21.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
A. Nesmith 21.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
P. Larsson 21.4 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.28
PTS 6
B. Mathurin 20.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
K. Ellis 20.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.24
PTS 5
K. Jakučionis 20.7 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.34
PTS 7

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

C. Gillespie 45.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.29
PTS 13
B. Carrington 32.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 3
D. Schröder 31.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2
B. Mathurin 29.3 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 8
K. Jakučionis 27.1 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.22
PTS 6
R. Nembhard 26.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
A. Nembhard 25.7 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 4
L. Kennard 22.9 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 6
D. Carter 20.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.45
PTS 9
T. McConnell 19.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 2

SEASON STATS

54
Games
6.3
PPG
1.6
RPG
1.6
APG
0.7
SPG
0.2
BPG
40.1
FG%
36.3
3P%
78.9
FT%
16.1
MPG

GAME LOG

54 games played