2025-26 Season

JARED MCCAIN

Oklahoma City Thunder | Guard | 6-3

2025-26 Season

JARED MCCAIN

Oklahoma City Thunder | Guard | 6-3 | Yr 1

8.3 PPG

2.0 RPG

1.3 APG

17.3 MPG

-4.2 Impact

McCain produces at an below average rate for a 17-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN

Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average

-4.2

Scoring +7.5

Points 8.3 PPG = +5.3

Shot Making above expected FG% = +2.2

Creation +0.4

Creation 1.3 AST/g = +0.4

Turnovers -1.9

Turnovers 0.8/g = -1.9

Defense +0.1

Defense 0.5 STL, 0.1 BLK = +0.1

Hustle & Effort +1.3

Rebounds 2.0 RPG = +1.3

Raw Impact +7.4

Baseline (game-average expected) −11.6

Net Impact

-4.2

29th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

TEAM COMPARISON

#12

Impact

#14

Creation

#16

Hustle

#15

Defense

of 16 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander +27.9 Chet Holmgren +13.8 Jalen Williams +6.5 Isaiah Hartenstein +5.6 Ajay Mitchell +5.4 Isaiah Joe +1.5 Cason Wallace +1.4 Branden Carlson +1.0 Kenrich Williams +0.9 Alex Caruso -1.2 Aaron Wiggins -1.3 Jared McCain -1.7 Jaylin Williams -2.5 Luguentz Dort -2.7 Ousmane Dieng -4.1 Brooks Barnhizer -6.4

Similar Players

Same position, closest production profile this season.

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 245 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 43th

8.6 PPG

Efficiency 26th

50.8% TS

Playmaking 21th

1.4 APG

Rebounding 21th

2.1 RPG

Defense 83th

+10.3/g

Hustle 69th

+10.5/g

Creation 69th

+3.38/g

Shot Making 53th

+6.75/g

TO Discipline 67th

0.05/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

A maddening inconsistency and a penchant for trigger-happy shot selection defined Jared McCain's early-season slump. Despite logging 28 minutes on 11/30 vs ATL, he completely derailed the second unit's momentum with stagnant decision-making, resulting in a staggering -11.7 impact score. Even when his jumper caught fire, hidden costs dragged him down. During his 11/23 vs MIA appearance, a 15-point scoring effort was entirely erased by a porous defensive showing that yielded a -4.4 impact. The lone bright spot arrived on 11/28 vs BKN. He poured in 20 points and generated a massive +14.3 impact score because he finally paired his aggressive perimeter shooting with an absolute two-way masterclass. By the time he earned a rare start on 12/23 vs BKN, his ferocious point-of-attack defense and relentless loose-ball recoveries (+6.8 hustle) nearly salvaged a dreadful 3-for-11 shooting night, keeping his net impact at a manageable -1.1.

This mid-season stretch was defined by extreme volatility, with Jared McCain oscillating between looking completely unplayable and catching fire as a lethal bench sparkplug. Early January was brutal, perfectly captured by a disastrous -8.8 impact score on 01/05 vs DEN where passive offensive positioning and a complete inability to break down his defender crippled the second unit. Even when his jumper started falling, hidden costs persisted. During 01/26 vs CHA, he poured in 16 points but still posted a -2.2 impact score because underlying structural issues dragged down his net rating despite the sizzling perimeter shot-making. He finally put the pieces together late in the stretch. On 02/20 vs BKN, McCain erupted for 21 points and a massive +12.1 impact score. That unexpected offensive explosion completely tilted the game, driven by supreme confidence on catch-and-shoot opportunities rather than forcing bad looks against set defenses.

Jared McCain’s midseason stretch was defined by sheer volatility, swinging wildly between game-breaking perimeter barrages and disastrous cold spells. When his shot fell, he was electric, like during the 03/18 vs BKN matchup where a blistering 5-for-9 shooting display from deep fueled a massive +13.8 impact score. Even when his jumper betrayed him, he occasionally found ways to contribute. During the 02/25 vs DET game, he shot an inefficient 6-for-16 from the field but still managed a +6.4 impact score because relentless off-ball movement and hustle plays salvaged his night. But his aggression often carried a steep price. He dropped a solid 13 points on 03/23 vs PHI, yet severe defensive bleeding during his shifts erased his scoring spike and dragged his net impact down to a -2.2. If he wants to be more than a chaotic bench spark, he has to stop giving back his own points on the other end of the floor.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

Best Game

20 PTS vs BKN

Nov 29 | +21.5 impact

Worst Game

0 PTS vs CHI

Nov 05 | -16.3 impact

PATTERNS

Inconsistent. McCain has clear good-night/bad-night splits, with scoring swinging ~6 points between games. You're never quite sure which version shows up.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 49% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Average defender. McCain doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

Slight upward trend. First-half impact: -5.6, second-half: -2.8. Modest improvement — possibly settling into a rhythm.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 3 games. Longest cold streak: 12 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 65 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.