ORL

2025-26 Season

FRANZ WAGNER

Orlando Magic | Forward | 6-10
Franz Wagner
20.2 PPG
5.2 RPG
3.4 APG
29.8 MPG
+10.9 Impact

Wagner produces at an elite rate for a 30-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+10.9
Scoring +17.9
Points 20.2 PPG = +14.1
Shot Making above expected FG% = +3.8
Creation +1.9
Creation 3.4 AST/g = +1.9
Turnovers -3.8
Turnovers 1.7/g = -3.8
Defense +0.2
Defense 0.9 STL, 0.3 BLK = +0.2
Hustle & Effort +4.3
Rebounds 5.2 RPG = +4.3
Raw Impact +20.5
Baseline (game-average expected) −9.6
Net Impact
+10.9
89th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 234 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 91th
20.2 PPG
Efficiency 67th
59.0% TS
Playmaking 87th
3.4 APG
Rebounding 68th
5.2 RPG
Defense 42th
+6.8/g
Hustle 43th
+11.4/g
Creation 83th
+3.93/g
Shot Making 81th
+8.18/g
TO Discipline 31th
0.06/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

This twenty-game stretch was defined by a fascinating tug-of-war between Franz Wagner's relentless downhill aggression and his bouts of erratic shot selection. Heavy offensive volume occasionally masked the hidden costs of his game, perfectly illustrated on 11/14 vs BKN. Despite dropping 25 points, his impact score slipped to -1.4 because ten missed shots and forced interior drives actively harmed the offense. Yet, Wagner possesses a rare ability to salvage value when his jumper abandons him. During the 11/09 vs BOS matchup, he endured a dreadful 5-for-17 shooting night but still managed a +7.3 impact by relentlessly attacking the glass and generating extra possessions. When his decision-making finally aligns with his physical tools, he becomes utterly unguardable. He delivered an absolute masterclass on 11/22 vs NYK, pairing 37 points with a towering +17.4 impact score driven by hyper-efficient 13-of-19 shooting. He remains a highly volatile engine, capable of either breaking a defense apart or stalling out his own team's momentum.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Very consistent. Wagner posts positive impact in 89% of games — you almost always get a productive night. Scoring varies by ~7 points, but the overall contribution stays positive.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 57% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Wagner consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: +14.5, second-half: +7.3. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.

Hot right now — 5 straight games with positive impact. Longest positive run this season: 19 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 29 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

D. Daniels 71.5 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 10
J. Brown 64.4 poss
FG% 58.3%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.31
PTS 20
A. Wiggins 61.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 16
A. Thompson 51.2 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 9
M. Buzelis 50.4 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 5
C. Coward 42.2 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.24
PTS 10
J. Jaquez Jr. 35.1 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 9
J. Hart 33.9 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.27
PTS 9
O. Anunoby 32.1 poss
FG% 28.6%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 5
D. Vassell 29.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 4

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. Brown 79.7 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 13
D. Daniels 64.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 5
A. Wiggins 62.4 poss
FG% 55.6%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 15
O. Anunoby 44.5 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 6
J. Giddey 42.2 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.31
PTS 13
C. Cunningham 42.0 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.52
PTS 22
M. Porter Jr. 39.8 poss
FG% 30.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.2
PTS 8
K. Durant 38.2 poss
FG% 71.4%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.29
PTS 11
D. Avdija 36.5 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 5
C. Coward 36.0 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.42
PTS 15

SEASON STATS

36
Games
20.2
PPG
5.2
RPG
3.4
APG
0.9
SPG
0.3
BPG
48.1
FG%
33.8
3P%
82.4
FT%
29.8
MPG

GAME LOG

36 games played