2025-26 Season
DOUG MCDERMOTT
2025-26 Season
DOUG MCDERMOTT
PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology
TEAM COMPARISON
of 17 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)
Similar Players
Same position, closest production profile this season.
SKILL DNA
Percentile rank vs 234 Forwards with 10+ games
THE SEASON SO FAR
Doug McDermott's early-season stretch was defined by a frustrating tightrope walk where his entire value hinged on extreme three-point variance. Even when his jumper was falling, as seen on 12/27 vs DAL, his -2.0 impact score revealed the hidden cost of his playing time as opponents relentlessly attacked his defensive limitations. When the perimeter touch vanished, he became practically unplayable. During a brutal 28-minute shift on 03/11 vs CHA, he posted an abysmal -13.5 impact score because bricking open catch-and-shoot looks completely neutralized his only real purpose on the hardwood. He did occasionally flash his vintage sharpshooting form, most notably on 02/11 vs UTA. By burying four triples in that contest, he generated a stellar +7.2 impact mark because his elite gravity fundamentally altered the court's geometry and punished the defense for every late rotation. Ultimately, this highly volatile run exposed him as a one-dimensional specialist who bleeds too much value in space to be trusted with heavy rotation minutes.
IMPACT TIMELINE
Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.
Struggling. McDermott has posted negative impact in 79% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.
Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 36% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.
Average defender. McDermott doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.
Slight upward trend. First-half impact: -7.4, second-half: -5.3. Modest improvement — possibly settling into a rhythm.
Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 2 games. Longest cold streak: 7 games.
MATCHUP HISTORY
Based on 76 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.
ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM
His shooting stats against each primary defender this season
ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED
How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.
SEASON STATS
GAME LOG
29 games played
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