SAC

2025-26 Season

DOUG MCDERMOTT

Sacramento Kings | Forward | 6-7
Doug McDermott
5.7 PPG
1.3 RPG
0.8 APG
15.1 MPG
-6.3 Impact

McDermott produces at an poor rate for a 15-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-6.3
Scoring +5.3
Points 5.7 PPG = +3.5
Shot Making above expected FG% = +1.8
Creation +0.2
Creation 0.8 AST/g = +0.2
Turnovers -1.1
Turnovers 0.4/g = -1.1
Defense -0.7
Defense 0.2 STL, 0.1 BLK = -0.7
Hustle & Effort +0.7
Rebounds 1.3 RPG = +0.7
Raw Impact +4.4
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.7
Net Impact
-6.3
7th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 234 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 28th
6.6 PPG
Efficiency 80th
61.1% TS
Playmaking 15th
0.9 APG
Rebounding 2th
1.4 RPG
Defense 17th
+4.7/g
Hustle 3th
+4.1/g
Creation 9th
+1.21/g
Shot Making 26th
+4.09/g
TO Discipline 87th
0.03/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Doug McDermott's early-season stretch was defined by a frustrating tightrope walk where his entire value hinged on extreme three-point variance. Even when his jumper was falling, as seen on 12/27 vs DAL, his -2.0 impact score revealed the hidden cost of his playing time as opponents relentlessly attacked his defensive limitations. When the perimeter touch vanished, he became practically unplayable. During a brutal 28-minute shift on 03/11 vs CHA, he posted an abysmal -13.5 impact score because bricking open catch-and-shoot looks completely neutralized his only real purpose on the hardwood. He did occasionally flash his vintage sharpshooting form, most notably on 02/11 vs UTA. By burying four triples in that contest, he generated a stellar +7.2 impact mark because his elite gravity fundamentally altered the court's geometry and punished the defense for every late rotation. Ultimately, this highly volatile run exposed him as a one-dimensional specialist who bleeds too much value in space to be trusted with heavy rotation minutes.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. McDermott has posted negative impact in 79% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 36% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.

Average defender. McDermott doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

Slight upward trend. First-half impact: -7.4, second-half: -5.3. Modest improvement — possibly settling into a rhythm.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 2 games. Longest cold streak: 7 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 76 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

J. Green 27.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 6
K. Thompson 24.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 3
K. Knueppel 17.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
C. Williams 14.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 3
J. Edwards 14.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 3
J. Miller 14.0 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 3
B. Miller 13.0 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 2
S. James 12.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 2
N. Smith Jr. 12.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
B. Sensabaugh 11.8 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.68
PTS 8

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. Green 29.0 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 6
K. Thompson 26.1 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 6
B. Mbeng 18.9 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 2
L. Waters III 17.7 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.17
PTS 3
S. James 16.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
C. Williams 15.7 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.64
PTS 10
J. Cain 15.7 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 2
J. Hawkins 15.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Miller 13.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Edwards 13.4 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 3

SEASON STATS

29
Games
5.7
PPG
1.3
RPG
0.8
APG
0.2
SPG
0.1
BPG
38.8
FG%
39.0
3P%
88.9
FT%
15.1
MPG

GAME LOG

29 games played