SAC

2025-26 Season

DEVIN CARTER

Sacramento Kings | Guard | 6-2
Devin Carter
8.9 PPG
3.3 RPG
2.7 APG
18.4 MPG
-1.8 Impact

Carter produces at an below average rate for a 18-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-1.8
Scoring +7.2
Points 8.9 PPG = +5.4
Shot Making above expected FG% = +1.8
Creation +1.1
Creation 2.7 AST/g = +1.1
Turnovers -3.3
Turnovers 1.4/g = -3.3
Defense +1.0
Defense 0.9 STL, 0.2 BLK = +1.0
Hustle & Effort +2.8
Rebounds 3.3 RPG = +2.8
Raw Impact +8.8
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.6
Net Impact
-1.8
50th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 245 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 55th
10.2 PPG
Efficiency 10th
45.7% TS
Playmaking 57th
3.0 APG
Rebounding 70th
3.7 RPG
Defense 47th
+7.1/g
Hustle 76th
+11.4/g
Creation 66th
+3.30/g
Shot Making 68th
+7.69/g
TO Discipline 21th
0.08/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Devin Carter’s early season was defined by a frustrating evolution from a defensive specialist into a high-volume, low-efficiency chucker. Early on, he found ways to contribute without the ball, like when he posted a +4.7 impact score on 10/28 vs OKC by supplying instant defensive energy and blowing up dribble handoffs despite scoring just four points. But as his minutes expanded, his shot selection cratered. Look no further than his first start on 02/11 vs UTA, where a season-high 19 points masked a damaging -2.8 impact score. He actively sabotaged his team's offensive flow that night with aggressive shot-hunting, forcing his way to a brutal 4-for-13 mark from the floor. A similar story unfolded on 02/09 vs NOP, where 12 points translated to a disastrous -6.9 impact because his total inability to hit from deep allowed defenders to pack the paint. He clearly possesses the relentless motor required to stick in an NBA rotation, but his broken perimeter jumper makes him a severe liability whenever he tries to carry the scoring load.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Carter's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~8 points per game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 45% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Average defender. Carter doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

Getting better as the season goes on. First-half impact: -5.2, second-half: +1.7. That's a significant jump — could be a role change, confidence, or development clicking.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 3 games. Longest cold streak: 8 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 66 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

J. Fears 45.0 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 10
J. Miller 22.3 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.36
PTS 8
B. Williams 20.6 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 5
J. Carter 20.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.45
PTS 9
T. Murphy III 19.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 3
I. Collier 17.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 2
C. Porter Jr. 16.8 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.42
PTS 7
L. Ball 16.5 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
T. Jerome 15.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
D. Bane 15.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 2

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. Fears 43.8 poss
FG% 85.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.32
PTS 14
D. Bane 27.7 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 2
I. Collier 20.3 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 5
B. Williams 19.6 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 5
J. Carter 18.7 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.48
PTS 9
J. Miller 17.2 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 4
J. Suggs 17.1 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 3
C. Porter Jr. 13.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
K. Knueppel 13.7 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 3
T. Jerome 13.7 poss
FG% 85.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 1.09
PTS 15

SEASON STATS

38
Games
8.9
PPG
3.3
RPG
2.7
APG
0.9
SPG
0.2
BPG
41.4
FG%
26.3
3P%
71.3
FT%
18.4
MPG

GAME LOG

38 games played