CHA

2025-26 Season

XAVIER TILLMAN

Charlotte Hornets | Forward | 6-8
Xavier Tillman
1.5 PPG
1.5 RPG
0.4 APG
6.1 MPG
-6.9 Impact

Tillman produces at an poor rate for a 6-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-6.9
Scoring +1.5
Points 1.5 PPG = +1.0
Shot Making above expected FG% = +0.5
Creation +0.1
Creation 0.4 AST/g = +0.1
Turnovers -0.9
Turnovers 0.3/g = -0.9
Defense -0.1
Defense 0.3 STL, 0.2 BLK = -0.1
Hustle & Effort +1.8
Rebounds 1.5 RPG = +1.8
Raw Impact +2.4
Baseline (game-average expected) −9.3
Net Impact
-6.9
5th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 234 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 5th
3.5 PPG
Efficiency 31th
54.3% TS
Playmaking 24th
1.1 APG
Rebounding 36th
3.5 RPG
Defense 57th
+7.6/g
Hustle 11th
+7.0/g
Creation 0th
+0.39/g
Shot Making 6th
+2.22/g
TO Discipline 90th
0.03/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Xavier Tillman’s opening stretch of the season was defined by extreme rotational volatility, bouncing between invisible garbage-time cameos and sudden bursts of physical dominance. When finally given a starting nod on 11/30 vs CLE, he logged 30 minutes and scored just 9 points, yet generated a massive +8.1 impact score. That sterling rating stemmed entirely from his elite rim deterrence and exceptional rotational awareness rather than raw offensive output. He found similar success off the bench on 10/22 vs PHI, shooting a dismal 2-for-8 from the floor but still managing a +4.1 impact. His stifling switch defense and physical screen-setting completely negated his shooting woes that night, allowing him to drive a highly productive stint through sheer grit. However, when that physical edge disappeared, he quickly became a liability. During a brief five-minute run on 12/04 vs WAS, he was completely invisible on both ends of the floor, resulting in a steep -6.1 impact score. He remains a highly situational bruiser who swings games with his defensive hustle but fades into the background the moment he stops hitting bodies.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. Tillman has posted negative impact in 97% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Tillman locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

Flat trajectory all season — first-half impact -6.7, second-half -7.1. No major shifts, which fits with the overall steadiness.

In a rough stretch — 22 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 22 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 73 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

E. Mobley 34.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2
J. Embiid 28.5 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
M. Potter 16.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
D. Eubanks 13.8 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 2
K. Towns 12.3 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 3
G. Yabusele 10.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
M. Raynaud 8.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Tyson 6.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.29
PTS 2
D. Hunter 6.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
D. Sharpe 6.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

E. Mobley 36.8 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 60.0%
PPP 0.41
PTS 15
J. Embiid 32.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2
D. Eubanks 13.1 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 2
M. Potter 11.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 2
K. Towns 9.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 2
C. Whitmore 7.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
G. Yabusele 7.2 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.83
PTS 6
T. Maxey 6.8 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 1.32
PTS 9
M. Raynaud 6.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
D. Sharpe 6.3 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.63
PTS 4

SEASON STATS

31
Games
1.5
PPG
1.5
RPG
0.4
APG
0.3
SPG
0.2
BPG
44.7
FG%
16.7
3P%
25.0
FT%
6.1
MPG

GAME LOG

31 games played