2025-26 Season

TYLER HERRO

Miami Heat | Guard | 6-5

2025-26 Season

TYLER HERRO

Miami Heat | Guard | 6-5 | Yr 6

20.6 PPG

4.7 RPG

4.2 APG

31.4 MPG

+8.0 Impact

Herro produces at an elite rate for a 31-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN

Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average

+8.0

Scoring +19.6

Points 20.6 PPG = +14.6

Shot Making above expected FG% = +5.0

Creation +1.3

Creation 4.2 AST/g = +1.3

Turnovers -4.3

Turnovers 1.9/g = -4.3

Defense -0.2

Defense 0.7 STL, 0.4 BLK = -0.2

Hustle & Effort +2.7

Rebounds 4.7 RPG = +2.7

Raw Impact +19.1

Baseline (game-average expected) −11.1

Net Impact

+8.0

87th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

TEAM COMPARISON

Impact

Creation

#12

Hustle

#10

Defense

of 14 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)

Bam Adebayo +15.9 Kel'el Ware +9.0 Norman Powell +8.4 Tyler Herro +8.0 Andrew Wiggins +6.6 Jaime Jaquez Jr. +4.3 Keshad Johnson +0.7 Pelle Larsson -0.2 Myron Gardner -0.7 Simone Fontecchio -1.7 Davion Mitchell -2.7 Dru Smith -3.0 Kasparas Jakučionis -4.3 Nikola Jović -4.7

Similar Players

Same position, closest production profile this season.

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 245 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 92th

20.6 PPG

Efficiency 87th

59.9% TS

Playmaking 79th

4.2 APG

Rebounding 86th

4.7 RPG

Defense 42th

+6.8/g

Hustle 53th

+9.2/g

Creation 66th

+3.30/g

Shot Making 88th

+9.45/g

TO Discipline 39th

0.06/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

A maddeningly volatile mix of blistering shot-making and crippling defensive lapses defined Tyler Herro's role to open the season. When his jumper was dialed in, he looked completely unstoppable. He dominated on 11/26 vs MIL, pouring in 29 points and seven assists to generate a massive +15.6 impact score through elite playmaking and scoring efficiency. Empty calories often plagued his stat lines, however. During the 01/11 vs OKC matchup, Herro dropped a highly efficient 19 points but still posted a disastrous -11.2 impact score because he entirely bled away his value on the defensive end. Heavier scoring outputs suffered similar fates, like his 25-point outing on 03/05 vs BKN that yielded a -1.3 impact dragged into the red by a detrimental habit of coughing up the basketball. Herro remains a lethal offensive weapon, but his heavy reliance on contested jumpers and perimeter vulnerability make him a high-stakes gamble on any given night.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

Best Game

33 PTS vs CHA

Mar 06 | +27.9 impact

Worst Game

10 PTS vs ORL

Mar 14 | -11.5 impact

PATTERNS

Volatile for his role. Herro has noticeable ups and downs, with scoring moving ~6 points between games.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 65% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Average defender. Herro doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

Small downward trend. First-half impact: +9.4, second-half: +6.6. Not alarming yet, but trending the wrong direction.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 8 games. Longest cold streak: 2 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 46 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.