TOR

2025-26 Season

TRAYCE JACKSON-DAVIS

Toronto Raptors | Forward | 6-9
Trayce Jackson-Davis
3.5 PPG
2.7 RPG
0.7 APG
9.4 MPG
-4.2 Impact

Jackson-Davis produces at an below average rate for a 9-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-4.2
Scoring +2.9
Points 3.5 PPG = +2.5
Shot Making above expected FG% = +0.4
Creation +0.3
Creation 0.7 AST/g = +0.3
Turnovers -1.2
Turnovers 0.4/g = -1.2
Hustle & Effort +2.9
Rebounds 2.7 RPG = +2.9
Raw Impact +4.9
Baseline (game-average expected) −9.1
Net Impact
-4.2
24th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 234 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 16th
5.0 PPG
Efficiency 16th
50.9% TS
Playmaking 22th
1.1 APG
Rebounding 48th
4.0 RPG
Defense 9th
+4.1/g
Hustle 69th
+14.3/g
Creation 37th
+1.99/g
Shot Making 2th
+1.20/g
TO Discipline 49th
0.05/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Trayce Jackson-Davis opened the 2025-26 campaign as a wildly volatile situational weapon whose nightly value hinged entirely on rim protection and vertical spacing rather than raw scoring. When he anchored the paint, his non-scoring contributions swung games entirely. Look at 11/07 vs DEN, where he managed just 9 points but posted a massive +14.7 impact because his dominant rim protection completely altered the opponent's shot profile. He replicated this specialized dominance on 12/25 vs DAL, turning 13 brief minutes and 10 points into a +10.7 impact strictly through flawless execution as a roll man. However, when opponents neutralized his physical edges, his value plummeted. During 11/11 vs OKC, he scored 6 points and grabbed 6 rebounds in 22 minutes, yet suffered a brutal -13.4 impact because hidden costs like severe struggles with interior positioning and a high foul rate cratered his overall rating. He remains a highly effective connector and defensive anchor, provided he operates strictly within his physical limits.

This midseason stretch was defined by extreme rotation volatility, as Trayce Jackson-Davis bounced between game-changing hustle shifts and completely invisible cameos. When he embraced the grimy aspects of the game, his value spiked wildly, perfectly illustrated on 01/02 vs OKC. Despite a horrific 1-for-6 shooting night, he generated a massive +7.3 impact score by dominating the dirty work areas and pulling down nine rebounds. However, when that physical edge vanished, he became an active detriment to the second unit. During a 12-minute stint on 01/20 vs TOR, he offered virtually no offensive resistance or gravity, resulting in a brutal -6.1 impact score as he completely disappeared from the floor. He finally found his ideal rhythm on 02/08 vs IND. By completely sealing off the defensive glass and denying second-chance points, he posted a double-double in just 16 minutes to earn a staggering +14.4 impact score. Ultimately, his effectiveness hinged entirely on his willingness to do the exhausting, unglamorous chores in the paint.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. Jackson-Davis has posted negative impact in 77% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 60% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Jackson-Davis consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Small downward trend. First-half impact: -3.1, second-half: -5.3. Not alarming yet, but trending the wrong direction.

In a rough stretch — 16 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 16 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 70 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

R. Gobert 33.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 6
O. Ighodaro 31.6 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 4
C. Holmgren 25.1 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 2
J. Huff 23.5 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.38
PTS 9
J. Williams 23.5 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
K. Filipowski 23.5 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 4
M. Williams 22.5 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 4
R. Williams III 22.1 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 2
B. Adebayo 20.3 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 2
N. Claxton 16.8 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 4

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

O. Ighodaro 35.5 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 4
R. Gobert 29.5 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 2
K. Filipowski 28.9 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.31
PTS 9
B. Adebayo 25.5 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 3
C. Holmgren 23.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 6
M. Williams 22.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
R. Williams III 22.4 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 6
N. Claxton 21.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 2
J. Huff 21.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Williams 21.0 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 2

SEASON STATS

53
Games
3.5
PPG
2.7
RPG
0.7
APG
0.3
SPG
0.5
BPG
57.3
FG%
100.0
3P%
52.6
FT%
9.4
MPG

GAME LOG

53 games played