2025-26 Season

TOLU SMITH

Detroit Pistons | Forward | 6-11

2025-26 Season

TOLU SMITH

Detroit Pistons | Forward | 6-11 | Yr 1

3.7 PPG

3.3 RPG

0.9 APG

9.2 MPG

-4.1 Impact

Smith produces at an below average rate for a 9-minute workload. Defensive impact (-1.1/game) is a concern.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN

Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average

-4.1

Scoring +2.9

Points 3.7 PPG = +2.5

Shot Making above expected FG% = +0.4

Creation +0.4

Creation 0.9 AST/g = +0.4

Turnovers -1.2

Turnovers 0.5/g = -1.2

Defense -1.1

Defense 0.1 STL, 0.4 BLK = -1.1

Hustle & Effort +3.8

Rebounds 3.3 RPG = +3.8

Raw Impact +4.8

Baseline (game-average expected) −8.9

Net Impact

-4.1

24th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

TEAM COMPARISON

Impact

Creation

Hustle

Defense

of 15 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)

Jalen Duren +18.5 Cade Cunningham +13.8 Ausar Thompson +5.7 Tobias Harris +5.7 Paul Reed +5.4 Duncan Robinson +2.5 Isaiah Stewart +1.0 Kevin Huerter +0.5 Javonte Green -0.2 Daniss Jenkins -0.9 Ronald Holland II -2.1 Jaden Ivey -2.7 Marcus Sasser -2.7 Chaz Lanier -4.6 Caris LeVert -5.3

Similar Players

Same position, closest production profile this season.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

Best Game

9 PTS vs LAC

Jan 11 | +12.5 impact

Worst Game

0 PTS vs MIN

Mar 28 | -10.5 impact

PATTERNS

Struggling. Smith has posted negative impact in 80% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: -2.0, second-half: -6.0. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.

In a rough stretch — 10 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 10 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 37 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.