CLE

2025-26 Season

SAM MERRILL

Cleveland Cavaliers | Guard | 6-4
Sam Merrill
12.6 PPG
2.6 RPG
2.4 APG
26.4 MPG
+1.3 Impact

Merrill produces at an above average rate for a 26-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+1.3
Scoring +12.2
Points 12.6 PPG = +8.8
Shot Making above expected FG% = +3.4
Creation +0.7
Creation 2.4 AST/g = +0.7
Turnovers -1.9
Turnovers 0.8/g = -1.9
Defense -0.6
Defense 0.6 STL, 0.1 BLK = -0.6
Hustle & Effort +1.7
Rebounds 2.6 RPG = +1.7
Raw Impact +12.1
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.8
Net Impact
+1.3
65th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 245 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 67th
12.6 PPG
Efficiency 97th
63.5% TS
Playmaking 43th
2.4 APG
Rebounding 42th
2.6 RPG
Defense 47th
+7.1/g
Hustle 19th
+5.9/g
Creation 41th
+2.49/g
Shot Making 87th
+9.28/g
TO Discipline 86th
0.03/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Sam Merrill’s opening stretch was defined by extreme volatility, oscillating wildly between lethal off-ball gravity and disastrous defensive vulnerability. Even when his outside stroke caught fire, hidden costs often dragged down his overall value. During 01/04 vs DET, he poured in 15 points on blazing 5-for-7 perimeter shooting, yet posted a -3.4 impact score because opposing guards completely abused his lack of resistance at the point of attack. Conversely, when he actively punished drop coverage without bleeding points on the other end, his floor-spacing transformed the entire offense. He caught absolute fire during 12/23 vs NOP, hitting six triples for 22 points and generating a massive +11.1 impact score. But his value completely evaporated when his quick trigger betrayed him. He essentially shot his team out of the building during 11/10 vs MIA, jacking up contested, early-clock looks to finish 4-for-16 from deep with an abysmal -14.0 impact score. Ultimately, Merrill remains a high-risk specialist whose offensive explosions constantly fight a war against his own defensive limitations.

Sam Merrill’s midseason stretch was defined by whiplash-inducing volatility, oscillating wildly between historic shooting clinics and catastrophic floor minutes. When his jumper was dialed in, he was a lethal offensive weapon. This peak was obvious on 02/11 vs WAS; he erupted for 32 points on 9-of-10 shooting from deep, posting a staggering +21.2 impact score. Yet, when the perimeter magic faded, his value completely cratered. During a disastrous outing on 02/07 vs SAC, brutal shot selection and an 0-for-5 mark from beyond the arc tanked his overall impact to a devastating -19.4. Even when he managed to score, hidden costs frequently dragged his value into the red. He put up 14 points on 02/25 vs MIL, but severe defensive struggles and poor efficiency from deep resulted in an abysmal -16.1 impact score. As a pure movement shooter, Merrill remains a high-variance gamble who either shoots his team to victory or bleeds points on the other end of the floor.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Merrill's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~7 points per game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 58% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive impact is minimal for a 26-minute player. Not generating enough contests, rim protection, or forced turnovers to move the needle.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 6 games. Longest cold streak: 4 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 51 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

D. Robinson 113.1 poss
FG% 38.5%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 14
A. Green 78.1 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.26
PTS 20
J. Brunson 56.4 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 28.6%
PPP 0.11
PTS 6
R. Rollins 44.9 poss
FG% 11.1%
3P% 11.1%
PPP 0.07
PTS 3
T. Herro 43.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 10
D. Bane 40.0 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 5
D. DiVincenzo 39.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 9
N. Powell 39.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
T. Jones 38.7 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 8
T. Murphy III 33.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.21
PTS 7

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

A. Green 100.3 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.15
PTS 15
D. Robinson 98.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 28.6%
PPP 0.14
PTS 14
J. Brunson 43.4 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 12
T. Herro 42.9 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 4
T. Jones 39.0 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.31
PTS 12
D. DiVincenzo 38.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 2
M. Bridges 38.7 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.31
PTS 12
R. Rollins 38.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 8
D. Bane 37.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 10
T. Murphy III 37.3 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 5

SEASON STATS

53
Games
12.6
PPG
2.6
RPG
2.4
APG
0.6
SPG
0.1
BPG
45.9
FG%
42.1
3P%
86.3
FT%
26.4
MPG

GAME LOG

53 games played