2025-26 Season

ROB DILLINGHAM

Chicago Bulls | Guard | 6-2

2025-26 Season

ROB DILLINGHAM

Chicago Bulls | Guard | 6-2 | Yr 1

6.3 PPG

2.0 RPG

2.2 APG

14.9 MPG

-9.8 Impact

Dillingham produces at an poor rate for a 15-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN

Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average

-9.8

Scoring +4.8

Points 6.3 PPG = +3.3

Shot Making above expected FG% = +1.5

Creation +0.6

Creation 2.2 AST/g = +0.6

Turnovers -3.6

Turnovers 1.5/g = -3.6

Defense -0.1

Defense 0.7 STL, 0.1 BLK = -0.1

Hustle & Effort +1.2

Rebounds 2.0 RPG = +1.2

Raw Impact +2.9

Baseline (game-average expected) −12.7

Net Impact

-9.8

1st pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

TEAM COMPARISON

#21

Impact

Creation

#18

Hustle

#17

Defense

of 21 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)

Nikola Vučević +11.1 Tre Jones +6.1 Leonard Miller +5.2 Josh Giddey +5.0 Collin Sexton +4.9 Matas Buzelis +3.8 Ayo Dosunmu +3.5 Jalen Smith +1.7 Coby White +1.2 Zach Collins +0.3 Guerschon Yabusele -0.1 Kevin Huerter -0.3 Nick Richards -0.3 Isaac Okoro -2.2 Lachlan Olbrich -2.8 Jevon Carter -2.9 Julian Phillips -3.2 Dalen Terry -4.9 Patrick Williams -5.6 Yuki Kawamura -6.4 Rob Dillingham -7.6

Similar Players

Same position, closest production profile this season.

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 245 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 27th

6.9 PPG

Efficiency 6th

43.6% TS

Playmaking 41th

2.3 APG

Rebounding 23th

2.2 RPG

Defense 42th

+6.8/g

Hustle 23th

+6.3/g

Creation 60th

+3.09/g

Shot Making 57th

+6.94/g

TO Discipline 7th

0.10/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Rob Dillingham’s early season was defined by a jarring inability to read NBA defenses, resulting in a chaotic string of wild drives and empty bench minutes. Even when the ball actually went through the hoop, hidden costs severely dragged him down. He tallied a stretch-high 11 points on 11/09 vs SAC, yet forced the issue so badly on drives that he posted a dismal -3.0 impact score. His longest leash came on 11/03 vs BKN, where poor shot selection and an utter lack of rhythm tanked his overall rating to a staggering -9.2. The offensive game simply looked completely broken. Yet, Dillingham occasionally found ways to survive on the floor without scoring at all. During a scoreless nine-minute run on 11/24 vs SAC, exceptional defensive engagement and high-energy hustle miraculously generated a +4.0 impact mark. Until he stops over-dribbling and cleans up his erratic finishing, those scrappy defensive plays will be his only saving grace.

This brutal mid-season stretch was defined by erratic shot selection and glaring defensive frailties that kept Rob Dillingham anchored to the bench. He occasionally managed to spark the offense without filling the stat sheet, like when he posted a +2.2 impact score on 12/31 vs ATL by injecting immediate pace and decisive decision-making into the late-game rotation. Those flashes were incredibly rare. Far more often, his minutes were an unmitigated disaster. Look no further than 01/04 vs WAS, where he logged an abysmal -11.5 impact score while producing 0 points, 0 rebounds, and 0 assists due to completely empty possessions and defensive breakdowns. Even when he managed to put the ball in the basket, his underlying value remained severely compromised by terrible habits on the other end of the floor. During 02/07 vs DEN, Dillingham scored 9 points and dished 4 assists, but his defensive frailties at the point of attack allowed opposing guards to consistently collapse the defense, dragging his impact score down to a poor -6.2. Unless he learns to navigate physical matchups and stops rushing off-balance floaters, he will remain a massive liability for the second unit.

A brutal slump defined by tunnel vision and defensive bleeding turned Rob Dillingham into a massive liability for the second unit during this stretch. Even when the box score looked respectable, the underlying metrics painted a grim picture of his actual value. Take his Mar 12 vs LAL performance, where he tallied 12 points, 5 rebounds, and 7 assists but still posted a -7.1 impact score. Defensive frailties at the point of attack allowed opposing guards to dictate the tempo, completely erasing his offensive contributions. The bottom fell out entirely on Mar 30 vs SAS, as he logged a disastrous -12.5 impact score while shooting a dismal 3-for-12 from the floor. He severely damaged the team's rhythm by forcing contested jumpers early in the shot clock rather than initiating the offense. His lone bright spot arrived on Mar 19 vs CLE, where an aggressive scoring mentality yielded 17 points and a +2.9 impact score. Unfortunately, that efficient outing was a rare anomaly in a frustrating stretch of erratic shot selection and costly defensive lapses.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

Apr 09 | -22.6 impact

PATTERNS

Struggling. Dillingham has posted negative impact in 94% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 32% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.

Slight upward trend. First-half impact: -11.2, second-half: -8.3. Modest improvement — possibly settling into a rhythm.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 2 games. Longest cold streak: 36 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 75 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.