TOR

2025-26 Season

RJ BARRETT

Toronto Raptors | Forward-Guard | 6-6
RJ Barrett
19.3 PPG
5.2 RPG
3.3 APG
30.3 MPG
+7.9 Impact

Barrett produces at an elite rate for a 30-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+7.9
Scoring +16.9
Points 19.3 PPG = +13.1
Shot Making above expected FG% = +3.8
Creation +1.4
Creation 3.3 AST/g = +1.4
Turnovers -4.2
Turnovers 1.8/g = -4.2
Defense -0.5
Defense 0.7 STL, 0.3 BLK = -0.5
Hustle & Effort +4.1
Rebounds 5.2 RPG = +4.1
Raw Impact +17.7
Baseline (game-average expected) −9.8
Net Impact
+7.9
85th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 234 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 87th
19.3 PPG
Efficiency 66th
59.0% TS
Playmaking 86th
3.3 APG
Rebounding 67th
5.2 RPG
Defense 26th
+5.2/g
Hustle 33th
+10.2/g
Creation 64th
+2.82/g
Shot Making 70th
+7.21/g
TO Discipline 26th
0.06/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

RJ Barrett’s opening stretch of the season was defined by extreme volatility, oscillating wildly between unstoppable bully-ball efficiency and momentum-killing tunnel vision. When he embraced his physical advantages, he looked like a star. Look no further than his 10/22 vs ATL performance, where phenomenal shot selection fueled a massive +10.9 impact score as he anchored the offense with 25 points on just 12 field goal attempts. However, that offensive value frequently vanished when he opted to play hero ball against set defenses. During a disastrous 10/29 vs HOU outing, Barrett posted a brutal -10.2 impact score because he stubbornly forced contested drives into traffic, racking up misses that completely derailed the team's momentum. Even when he managed to put the ball in the hoop, hidden defensive costs often dragged his metrics into the red. Despite a respectable 16-point scoring night on 10/26 vs DAL, he suffered a severely negative -7.0 impact score because Dallas mercilessly targeted him in pick-and-roll coverage. He remains a frustratingly inconsistent weapon who can win you a game with straight-line drives on Monday and shoot you out of the gym by Wednesday.

A maddening tug-of-war between relentless downhill dominance and self-sabotaging tunnel vision defined RJ Barrett's midseason stretch. He routinely undermined his own box score with stubborn decision-making in heavy traffic. Take the 02/08 vs IND matchup, where he dropped 20 points but posted a -2.9 impact score because his forced drives resulted in blocked shots and live-ball turnovers that ignited the opposing fast break. Yet, Barrett occasionally found ways to salvage his value when his jumper completely abandoned him. During the 01/23 vs POR game, a dismal 0-for-5 night from deep capped him at just 10 points, but he still scratched out a +2.0 impact mark by leaning heavily into a massive +16.8 defensive rating. When he finally paired his physical slashing with efficient finishing, the results were spectacular. He punctuated this run with an absolute offensive masterclass on 03/08 vs DAL, hanging 31 points on 13-of-19 shooting to generate a staggering +11.2 impact score through relentless rim pressure.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Very consistent. Barrett posts positive impact in 76% of games — you almost always get a productive night. Scoring varies by ~6 points, but the overall contribution stays positive.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 64% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Barrett locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

Slight upward trend. First-half impact: +6.8, second-half: +9.0. Modest improvement — possibly settling into a rhythm.

Hot right now — 4 straight games with positive impact. Longest positive run this season: 11 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 51 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

Z. Risacher 64.6 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 14
D. Robinson 59.8 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 12
D. Daniels 56.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 28.6%
PPP 0.34
PTS 19
M. Bridges 55.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 10
FG% 22.2%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 4
K. Knueppel 40.5 poss
FG% 45.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 11
K. Durant 40.2 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.2
PTS 8
V. Edgecombe 38.1 poss
FG% 28.6%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 10
A. Green 37.9 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.18
PTS 7
D. Vassell 37.0 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 10

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

D. Daniels 102.7 poss
FG% 53.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 18
P. Washington 51.4 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 9
A. Thompson 46.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 5
M. Buzelis 46.0 poss
FG% 14.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 3
M. Porter Jr. 45.3 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 5
J. Randle 44.5 poss
FG% 41.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.29
PTS 13
S. Bey 44.0 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 60.0%
PPP 0.34
PTS 15
O. Anunoby 40.4 poss
FG% 77.8%
3P% 75.0%
PPP 0.45
PTS 18
J. Green 39.7 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 6
A. Green 38.5 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 9

SEASON STATS

58
Games
19.3
PPG
5.2
RPG
3.3
APG
0.7
SPG
0.3
BPG
49.2
FG%
34.3
3P%
71.9
FT%
30.3
MPG

GAME LOG

58 games played