MIL

2025-26 Season

PETE NANCE

Milwaukee Bucks | Forward | 6-9
Pete Nance
5.4 PPG
2.7 RPG
1.0 APG
15.7 MPG
-3.7 Impact

Nance produces at an below average rate for a 16-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-3.7
Scoring +5.4
Points 5.4 PPG = +4.0
Shot Making above expected FG% = +1.4
Creation +0.2
Creation 1.0 AST/g = +0.2
Turnovers -1.4
Turnovers 0.6/g = -1.4
Defense -0.4
Defense 0.3 STL, 0.3 BLK = -0.4
Hustle & Effort +2.3
Rebounds 2.7 RPG = +2.3
Raw Impact +6.1
Baseline (game-average expected) −9.8
Net Impact
-3.7
26th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 234 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 29th
6.7 PPG
Efficiency 73th
60.0% TS
Playmaking 36th
1.3 APG
Rebounding 34th
3.5 RPG
Defense 21th
+4.9/g
Hustle 21th
+8.8/g
Creation 37th
+1.97/g
Shot Making 51th
+5.92/g
TO Discipline 84th
0.03/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

A chaotic pendulum swing defined Pete Nance's early-season run, bouncing wildly between end-of-bench irrelevance and highly efficient rotation bursts. You can see his hidden value perfectly on 01/19 vs ATL. Despite scoring a mere 5 points, he registered a massive +8.1 impact score because of flawless weak-side rotations and elite rim deterrence that anchored the second unit. Yet, when given a heavier workload on 01/21 vs OKC, the wheels completely fell off. He put up 11 points in 30 minutes, but his -1.1 impact score revealed the ugly truth: costly rotational mistakes on defense completely erased his offensive production. He quickly recalibrated his focus. On 01/25 vs DAL, Nance combined surprisingly stout defensive positioning (+4.7 def impact) with highly efficient spot-up shooting to generate a staggering +9.5 impact score in just 16 minutes. To survive in this league, he must abandon the defensive lapses and embrace his identity as a disciplined, low-usage connector.

This stretch was defined by a brutal reality check, as Nance's late-season promotion to heavier minutes exposed his glaring defensive limitations. Even when he found the bottom of the net, hidden costs consistently dragged him down. During the 03/23 vs LAC matchup, he managed 11 points in 31 minutes, yet posted a -3.0 impact score because a high volume of missed weak-side rotational assignments sabotaged the team's defensive structure. When his shot wasn't falling, the results were catastrophic. On 03/10 vs PHX, he was bullied on the interior and failed to secure defensive rebounds, resulting in a brutal -9.8 impact score while going completely scoreless. However, he occasionally found ways to add value without filling it up. In a bench role on 03/08 vs ORL, he scored just 6 points but scraped out a +0.8 impact by making quick, decisive reads that kept the offensive flow humming. Ultimately, Nance looked like a player overwhelmed by the speed of the game, bleeding far too many points defensively to justify his frequent lapses in aggression.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Inconsistent. Nance has clear good-night/bad-night splits, with scoring swinging ~5 points between games. You're never quite sure which version shows up.

Reliable shooter — hits 45%+ from the field in 72% of games. You can count on efficient nights more often than not.

Average defender. Nance doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 2 games. Longest cold streak: 11 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 55 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

L. Garza 28.0 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 75.0%
PPP 0.39
PTS 11
J. Miller 26.0 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 4
J. Collins 23.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
M. Gueye 22.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Walker 20.2 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 3
D. Avdija 19.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
R. Fleming 19.1 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 3
J. Champagnie 16.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Walsh 16.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
N. Queta 15.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.45
PTS 7

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. Walsh 24.8 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 6
J. Miller 24.4 poss
FG% 14.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 2
J. Collins 22.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 5
L. Dort 22.1 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 3
M. Gueye 21.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
R. Fleming 17.7 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 3
L. Garza 17.0 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 2
J. Walker 17.0 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.41
PTS 7
R. Williams III 15.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 2
P. Pritchard 15.2 poss
FG% 54.5%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.92
PTS 14

SEASON STATS

47
Games
5.4
PPG
2.7
RPG
1.0
APG
0.3
SPG
0.3
BPG
51.5
FG%
42.0
3P%
36.4
FT%
15.7
MPG

GAME LOG

47 games played