BOS

2025-26 Season

PAYTON PRITCHARD

Boston Celtics | Guard | 6-1
Payton Pritchard
16.9 PPG
3.9 RPG
5.1 APG
32.0 MPG
+8.0 Impact

Pritchard produces at an elite rate for a 32-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+8.0
Scoring +15.8
Points 16.9 PPG = +11.4
Shot Making above expected FG% = +4.4
Creation +0.9
Creation 5.1 AST/g = +0.9
Turnovers -3.1
Turnovers 1.4/g = -3.1
Defense +0.6
Defense 0.7 STL, 0.1 BLK = +0.6
Hustle & Effort +2.7
Rebounds 3.9 RPG = +2.7
Raw Impact +16.9
Baseline (game-average expected) −8.9
Net Impact
+8.0
87th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 245 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 83th
17.0 PPG
Efficiency 54th
55.4% TS
Playmaking 83th
5.2 APG
Rebounding 75th
3.9 RPG
Defense 38th
+6.5/g
Hustle 69th
+10.5/g
Creation 37th
+2.36/g
Shot Making 92th
+10.27/g
TO Discipline 72th
0.04/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Payton Pritchard’s opening stretch of the season was defined by a maddeningly volatile tug-of-war between his trigger-happy offensive habits and his point-of-attack tenacity. Traditional box scores frequently masked the true nature of his on-court value. Take his 10/26 vs DET matchup, where a massive 21-point, 10-rebound output was completely undone by hidden costs. A string of live-ball mistakes dragged his impact down to a flat -0.1, entirely erasing the value of his high-volume scoring. Conversely, he found ways to salvage his minutes when his jumper completely abandoned him during the 10/31 vs PHI game. Despite a brutal 1-for-9 shooting night from deep, relentless defensive pressure kept his impact firmly in the green at +3.5. When his outside shot actually fell, he was utterly devastating, pouring in 30 points on 11/16 vs LAC to earn a +9.9 impact score by ruthlessly torching drop coverages. Ultimately, he remains a chaotic spark plug whose aggressive shot selection can either break the opposing defense or stall his own team's momentum.

Payton Pritchard spent this twenty-game stretch riding a dizzying rollercoaster between nuclear offensive explosions and crippling perimeter freezes. He opened the window looking like an absolute superstar on 11/30 vs CLE, torching drop coverage with a lightning-quick release to pour in 42 points and generate a massive +18.0 impact score. That elite shotmaking frequently vanished. Even when his point totals looked respectable, hidden costs like poor shot selection often dragged him down. During a 12/30 vs UTA matchup, he scored 18 points but posted a -0.9 impact because heavy, inefficient volume from beyond the arc neutralized his offensive creation. Conversely, he occasionally found ways to generate non-scoring value when his jumper abandoned him. On 01/07 vs DEN, he scored a modest 17 points and shot a frigid 1-for-6 from deep, yet managed a +2.1 impact by applying relentless point-of-attack pressure to disrupt the opposing offense. Ultimately, this volatile stretch revealed a guard who can single-handedly win a quarter, but whose erratic consistency makes him a nightly gamble.

Whiplash-inducing volatility and a permanent move to the second unit defined Payton Pritchard’s turbulent midseason stretch. When his jumper was falling, he operated as a brilliant offensive engine, torching drop coverages with lethal pull-up shooting to post a massive +15.2 impact score on 01/30 vs SAC. His 29 points and eight assists in that contest reflected elite decision-making and precise pick-and-roll execution. Yet, those dizzying highs were routinely wiped out by brutal slumps where his poor shot selection actively hurt the offense. Look no further than 02/24 vs PHX, where a disastrous 2-for-13 shooting night cratered his overall footprint and saddled him with a -12.0 impact score. The bottom completely fell out shortly after on 03/04 vs CHA. He repeatedly forced heavily contested shots during that scoreless nightmare, dragging his value down to an abysmal -20.9 impact score. For a guard relying so heavily on perimeter spacing and creation, this run exposed how quickly his worth evaporates when the well runs dry.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Very consistent. Pritchard posts positive impact in 78% of games — you almost always get a productive night. Scoring varies by ~9 points, but the overall contribution stays positive.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 60% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Pritchard locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

Hot right now — 11 straight games with positive impact. Longest positive run this season: 11 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 71 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

A. Thompson 104.4 poss
FG% 35.7%
3P% 41.7%
PPP 0.14
PTS 15
A. Nembhard 89.8 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 6
FG% 33.3%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 10
V. Edgecombe 66.3 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.14
PTS 9
T. Maxey 61.8 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 11.1%
PPP 0.1
PTS 6
A. Black 59.7 poss
FG% 63.6%
3P% 60.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 18
R. Rollins 56.2 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 5
T. Mann 54.3 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.06
PTS 3
K. Dunn 53.5 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 75.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 11
I. Quickley 49.2 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 4

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

D. Robinson 116.0 poss
FG% 41.7%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 15
A. Nembhard 95.0 poss
FG% 35.7%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 16
N. Powell 66.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.2
PTS 13
V. Edgecombe 64.9 poss
FG% 55.6%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 12
I. Quickley 58.1 poss
FG% 16.7%
3P% 12.5%
PPP 0.09
PTS 5
FG% 66.7%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 9
T. Maxey 52.6 poss
FG% 41.7%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 13
G. Vincent 52.0 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 42.9%
PPP 0.21
PTS 11
D. Schröder 51.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
Q. Grimes 50.2 poss
FG% 62.5%
3P% 60.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 13

SEASON STATS

80
Games
16.9
PPG
3.9
RPG
5.1
APG
0.7
SPG
0.1
BPG
46.4
FG%
37.8
3P%
89.0
FT%
32.0
MPG

GAME LOG

80 games played