MIA

2025-26 Season

NORMAN POWELL

Miami Heat | Guard | 6-3
Norman Powell
21.6 PPG
3.5 RPG
2.4 APG
29.4 MPG
+8.4 Impact

Powell produces at an elite rate for a 29-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+8.4
Scoring +19.8
Points 21.6 PPG = +15.1
Shot Making above expected FG% = +4.7
Creation +1.4
Creation 2.4 AST/g = +1.4
Turnovers -4.2
Turnovers 1.9/g = -4.2
Defense +0.9
Defense 1.1 STL, 0.2 BLK = +0.9
Hustle & Effort +1.7
Rebounds 3.5 RPG = +1.7
Raw Impact +19.6
Baseline (game-average expected) −11.2
Net Impact
+8.4
89th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 245 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 94th
21.6 PPG
Efficiency 88th
60.5% TS
Playmaking 44th
2.4 APG
Rebounding 64th
3.5 RPG
Defense 58th
+7.6/g
Hustle 69th
+10.5/g
Creation 60th
+3.09/g
Shot Making 89th
+9.69/g
TO Discipline 35th
0.07/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Norman Powell's first twenty games were defined by a volatile, high-volume scoring binge where his tunnel vision constantly warred with his elite shot-making. He frequently piled up points while hurting the team on the margins, a flaw glaringly obvious on 11/05 vs DEN. Despite dropping 23 points, Powell registered a dismal -7.7 impact score because forced drives into traffic cratered his efficiency inside the arc. Conversely, he occasionally found ways to drive winning basketball when his jumper abandoned him. During the 11/21 vs CHI matchup, he managed a highly positive +6.9 impact score despite a modest 19 points on 6-for-14 shooting, leaning entirely on gritty point-of-attack defense to mask his wild perimeter inconsistency. When his shot selection actually matched his supreme confidence, he was utterly unguardable. He torched the nets on 11/14 vs NYK for 38 points, burying eight triples to generate a massive +10.8 impact score through scorching perimeter execution.

Norman Powell's midseason stretch was defined by maddening volatility, swinging wildly between unguardable flamethrower and active detriment. When his jumper was falling, he was completely unstoppable, peaking on 01/04 vs NOP with 34 points on 9-of-12 shooting from deep to generate a massive +22.2 impact score. That absolute masterclass in perimeter shot-making broke the opponent's defensive scheme entirely. Yet Powell often sabotaged his own value even when filling up the scoring column, as seen on 01/19 vs GSW where he tallied 21 points but posted a -7.2 impact. Bleeding value on the defensive end completely negated his aggressive offensive output in that contest. His shot selection could be equally destructive when his touch vanished. During an ugly 12/19 vs BOS matchup, he launched a disastrous 1-of-11 from beyond the arc, forcing looks that acted as an anchor to drag his impact down to a brutal -15.1.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Very consistent. Powell posts positive impact in 85% of games — you almost always get a productive night. Scoring varies by ~7 points, but the overall contribution stays positive.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 56% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Powell locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: +11.9, second-half: +5.1. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 14 games. Longest cold streak: 1 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 73 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

M. Bridges 114.7 poss
FG% 46.2%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 31
D. Bane 72.7 poss
FG% 43.8%
3P% 12.5%
PPP 0.22
PTS 16
J. Suggs 71.3 poss
FG% 52.9%
3P% 57.1%
PPP 0.48
PTS 34
A. Black 69.3 poss
FG% 53.8%
3P% 80.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 18
P. Pritchard 66.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.2
PTS 13
D. DiVincenzo 60.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 10
D. White 50.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.34
PTS 17
K. Knueppel 50.0 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.32
PTS 16
D. Daniels 46.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 12
K. Ellis 44.7 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.31
PTS 14

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

M. Bridges 79.4 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.13
PTS 10
A. Black 77.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 10
L. Shamet 66.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 57.1%
PPP 0.23
PTS 15
J. Suggs 64.8 poss
FG% 47.1%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.31
PTS 20
T. Camara 46.2 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.17
PTS 8
A. Green 44.9 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.07
PTS 3
A. Thompson 43.2 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 8
D. DiVincenzo 43.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 2
T. da Silva 42.3 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 5
K. Ellis 41.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

SEASON STATS

59
Games
21.6
PPG
3.5
RPG
2.4
APG
1.1
SPG
0.2
BPG
47.1
FG%
38.1
3P%
82.7
FT%
29.4
MPG

GAME LOG

59 games played