PHX

2025-26 Season

NIGEL HAYES-DAVIS

Phoenix Suns | Forward | 6-7
Nigel Hayes-Davis
1.3 PPG
1.2 RPG
0.3 APG
7.2 MPG
-7.9 Impact

Hayes-Davis produces at an poor rate for a 7-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-7.9
Scoring +0.8
Points 1.3 PPG = +0.4
Shot Making above expected FG% = +0.4
Creation +0.1
Creation 0.3 AST/g = +0.1
Turnovers -0.8
Turnovers 0.3/g = -0.8
Defense +0.2
Defense 0.3 STL, 0.1 BLK = +0.2
Hustle & Effort +1.1
Rebounds 1.2 RPG = +1.1
Raw Impact +1.4
Baseline (game-average expected) −9.3
Net Impact
-7.9
1st pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 234 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 0th
1.7 PPG
Efficiency 0th
26.1% TS
Playmaking 4th
0.5 APG
Rebounding 3th
1.6 RPG
Defense 50th
+7.1/g
Hustle 8th
+6.3/g
Creation 1th
+0.70/g
Shot Making 5th
+2.08/g
TO Discipline 55th
0.05/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Nigel Hayes-Davis spent the first twenty games of the 2025-26 season clinging to the fringes of the rotation, battling offensive invisibility and disastrous defensive lapses. His stint vs DEN on 11/29 epitomized these struggles, as he posted an abysmal -11.2 impact score while missing all three of his shots in 13 minutes. Disastrous offensive execution completely tanked his value that night, turning his minutes into a massive liability. Yet, when he simplified his game, the results flipped entirely. During his matchup vs LAC on 10/24, he logged a season-high 21 minutes and generated a stellar +5.8 impact score. Despite scoring just seven points, his elite defensive execution and highly efficient shot selection drove massive positive value for the second unit. He flashed this opportunistic scoring again vs CLE on 12/31, hunting quality looks to notch five points in just four minutes for a quick +2.9 impact. Unfortunately, those efficient sparks were too rare to offset the empty possessions that plagued his early campaign.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. Hayes-Davis has posted negative impact in 96% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Flat trajectory all season — first-half impact -7.7, second-half -8.0. No major shifts, which fits with the overall steadiness.

In a rough stretch — 25 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 25 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 51 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

J. Collins 16.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
D. DeRozan 11.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Smith Jr. 8.7 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
S. Aldama 8.2 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 2
D. Knecht 8.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 2
B. Carlson 7.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Walker 7.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Murray 6.9 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.58
PTS 4
T. Hardaway Jr. 6.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
L. Dončić 6.7 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 2

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. Collins 14.5 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 2
P. Watson 12.4 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 2
D. Knecht 10.5 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 2
S. Aldama 10.3 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 2
J. Smith Jr. 9.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. LaRavia 9.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
D. DeRozan 8.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
O. Dieng 7.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
A. Caruso 6.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Murray 6.7 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.6
PTS 4

SEASON STATS

27
Games
1.3
PPG
1.2
RPG
0.3
APG
0.3
SPG
0.1
BPG
32.6
FG%
12.5
3P%
50.0
FT%
7.2
MPG

GAME LOG

27 games played