2025-26 Season
NICK SMITH JR.
2025-26 Season
NICK SMITH JR.
PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology
TEAM COMPARISON
of 15 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)
Similar Players
Same position, closest production profile this season.
SKILL DNA
Percentile rank vs 245 Guards with 10+ games
THE SEASON SO FAR
Nick Smith Jr.'s first twenty games of the 2025-26 campaign were defined by maddening inconsistency, oscillating violently between brilliant offensive sparks and disastrous, momentum-killing stints. When his jumper was falling, he looked like an elite floor-spacer. He erupted for 25 points on 11/03 vs POR, generating a massive +9.4 impact score through perfect floor spacing and scorching perimeter execution. Yet, earning a rare spot in the starting lineup on 12/23 vs PHX exposed his glaring defensive flaws. Despite tallying a respectable 12 points, he posted a brutal -14.8 impact mark because opponents ruthlessly targeted him, bleeding points on the defensive end to crater his overall value. Conversely, he occasionally found ways to tilt the game positively even when the raw scoring wasn't there. On 11/15 vs MIL, he managed a +4.8 impact score while scoring just 3 points because his immediate aggression hunting his shot from beyond the arc sparked a quick momentum swing for the second unit. Until he stops rushing decisions and tightens his defensive focus, Smith will remain a volatile gamble rather than a reliable rotational piece.
IMPACT TIMELINE
Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.
Struggling. Jr. has posted negative impact in 80% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.
Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 53% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.
Small downward trend. First-half impact: -3.9, second-half: -6.7. Not alarming yet, but trending the wrong direction.
Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 2 games. Longest cold streak: 13 games.
MATCHUP HISTORY
Based on 32 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.
ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM
His shooting stats against each primary defender this season
ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED
How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.
SEASON STATS
GAME LOG
30 games played
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