LAL

2025-26 Season

NICK SMITH JR.

Los Angeles Lakers | Guard | 6-2
Nick Smith Jr.
6.2 PPG
0.8 RPG
1.0 APG
12.5 MPG
-5.3 Impact

Jr. produces at an poor rate for a 12-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-5.3
Scoring +5.8
Points 6.2 PPG = +4.0
Shot Making above expected FG% = +1.8
Creation +0.3
Creation 1.0 AST/g = +0.3
Turnovers -1.7
Turnovers 0.7/g = -1.7
Defense -0.3
Defense 0.3 STL, 0.1 BLK = -0.3
Hustle & Effort +0.4
Rebounds 0.8 RPG = +0.4
Raw Impact +4.5
Baseline (game-average expected) −9.8
Net Impact
-5.3
22th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 245 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 34th
7.5 PPG
Efficiency 34th
52.4% TS
Playmaking 14th
1.2 APG
Rebounding 1th
1.0 RPG
Defense 15th
+4.7/g
Hustle 1th
+2.5/g
Creation 11th
+1.44/g
Shot Making 68th
+7.73/g
TO Discipline 51th
0.06/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Nick Smith Jr.'s first twenty games of the 2025-26 campaign were defined by maddening inconsistency, oscillating violently between brilliant offensive sparks and disastrous, momentum-killing stints. When his jumper was falling, he looked like an elite floor-spacer. He erupted for 25 points on 11/03 vs POR, generating a massive +9.4 impact score through perfect floor spacing and scorching perimeter execution. Yet, earning a rare spot in the starting lineup on 12/23 vs PHX exposed his glaring defensive flaws. Despite tallying a respectable 12 points, he posted a brutal -14.8 impact mark because opponents ruthlessly targeted him, bleeding points on the defensive end to crater his overall value. Conversely, he occasionally found ways to tilt the game positively even when the raw scoring wasn't there. On 11/15 vs MIL, he managed a +4.8 impact score while scoring just 3 points because his immediate aggression hunting his shot from beyond the arc sparked a quick momentum swing for the second unit. Until he stops rushing decisions and tightens his defensive focus, Smith will remain a volatile gamble rather than a reliable rotational piece.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. Jr. has posted negative impact in 80% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 53% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Small downward trend. First-half impact: -3.9, second-half: -6.7. Not alarming yet, but trending the wrong direction.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 2 games. Longest cold streak: 13 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 32 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

C. Spencer 27.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 2
M. Sasser 23.0 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 3
K. Wallace 17.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
C. Love 16.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
C. Gillespie 15.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
T. Camara 15.0 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.53
PTS 8
D. Schröder 15.0 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.4
PTS 6
P. Pritchard 13.7 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.51
PTS 7
J. Bouyea 13.5 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.52
PTS 7
D. Fox 13.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

K. Caldwell-Pope 20.4 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.39
PTS 8
M. Sasser 18.7 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 5
C. Spencer 16.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
V. Krejčí 14.9 poss
FG% 55.6%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.81
PTS 12
S. Cissoko 14.4 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 2
K. Murray 14.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
C. Love 13.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 2
D. McDermott 12.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
S. Sharpe 11.6 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 2
J. Grant 11.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

SEASON STATS

30
Games
6.2
PPG
0.8
RPG
1.0
APG
0.3
SPG
0.1
BPG
43.5
FG%
39.5
3P%
73.3
FT%
12.5
MPG

GAME LOG

30 games played