CLE

2025-26 Season

LARRY NANCE JR.

Cleveland Cavaliers | Forward-Center | 6-6
Larry Nance Jr.
3.6 PPG
2.6 RPG
0.9 APG
12.5 MPG
-6.2 Impact

Jr. produces at an poor rate for a 12-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-6.2
Scoring +2.8
Points 3.6 PPG = +2.0
Shot Making above expected FG% = +0.8
Creation +0.3
Creation 0.9 AST/g = +0.3
Turnovers -1.4
Turnovers 0.6/g = -1.4
Defense +0.1
Defense 0.6 STL, 0.2 BLK = +0.1
Hustle & Effort +2.2
Rebounds 2.6 RPG = +2.2
Raw Impact +4.0
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.2
Net Impact
-6.2
7th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 234 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 7th
4.0 PPG
Efficiency 9th
48.0% TS
Playmaking 22th
1.1 APG
Rebounding 22th
2.9 RPG
Defense 32th
+6.0/g
Hustle 8th
+6.3/g
Creation 32th
+1.87/g
Shot Making 7th
+2.43/g
TO Discipline 69th
0.04/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Larry Nance Jr.'s first twenty games were defined by a crippling offensive slump that frequently turned his minutes into a black hole for the second unit. His complete inability to convert around the basket or stretch the floor was glaring on 10/31 vs TOR, where a scoreless 20-minute shift yielded a catastrophic -14.2 impact score. Even when he managed to find the basket, hidden defensive costs dragged his rating into the red. On 11/05 vs PHI, he scored 7 points—a relative scoring outburst for him—but still posted a -1.2 impact because he consistently arrived late on weak-side rotations and failed to anchor the bench defense. Yet, Nance occasionally salvaged his value through sheer veteran discipline. During a 13-minute stint on 01/21 vs CHA, he tallied just 5 points but generated a stellar +4.1 impact by making quick decisions and providing a masterclass in low-usage efficiency. To survive in this rotation, he must rely entirely on connective passing and defensive positioning rather than forcing a broken offensive game.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. Jr. has posted negative impact in 81% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 67% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Average defender. Jr. doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 1 games. Longest cold streak: 13 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 56 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

S. Mamukelashvili 26.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
T. Watford 20.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.29
PTS 6
J. Poeltl 17.2 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 3
K. Porziņģis 16.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 1
B. Portis 15.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
B. Ingram 15.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Huff 14.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
O. Okongwu 14.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
M. Gueye 13.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
N. Clowney 12.0 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 2

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

S. Mamukelashvili 19.6 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.36
PTS 7
J. Huff 18.3 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 2
K. Porziņģis 16.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 3
B. Ingram 16.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.5
PTS 8
J. Poeltl 16.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
T. Watford 14.5 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.48
PTS 7
O. Okongwu 14.1 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
B. Portis 13.9 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 2
M. Gueye 13.6 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 2
A. Drummond 12.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 2

SEASON STATS

36
Games
3.6
PPG
2.6
RPG
0.9
APG
0.6
SPG
0.2
BPG
41.9
FG%
33.3
3P%
46.2
FT%
12.5
MPG

GAME LOG

36 games played