2025-26 Season
KELLY OUBRE JR.
2025-26 Season
KELLY OUBRE JR.
PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology
TEAM COMPARISON
of 14 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)
Similar Players
Same position, closest production profile this season.
SKILL DNA
Percentile rank vs 234 Forwards with 10+ games
THE SEASON SO FAR
A maddening inconsistency defined Kelly Oubre Jr.'s first twenty games, marked by erratic decision-making and a mid-season demotion to the bench. High-scoring nights were frequently deceptive. During the 11/05 vs CLE matchup, a 19-point outing resulted in a dismal -5.6 impact score because defensive lapses and live-ball turnovers completely erased his offensive production. The sabotage was entirely self-inflicted. This chaotic approach bottomed out during a reserve shift on 01/09 vs ORL, where he went scoreless and posted a brutal -9.7 impact by operating as an offensive black hole who forced contested early-clock looks. Yet, just when you want to write him off, Oubre flips the script by leaning into his raw athleticism. Returning to the starting lineup on 01/11 vs TOR, he managed just 13 points but generated a stellar +5.2 impact score, using elite defensive disruption to anchor his value without needing a massive scoring night.
Kelly Oubre Jr.’s midseason stretch was defined by maddening inconsistency, oscillating violently between game-wrecking hustle and catastrophic offensive decision-making. When fully engaged, he was a chaotic force of nature. This peak was perfectly captured on 01/22 vs HOU, where he generated a massive +9.2 impact score by fueling the team with sheer energy and elite hustle plays. Yet, that same chaotic energy frequently backfired. His shot selection regularly devolved into forcing contested jumpers early in the clock, resulting in a disastrous -19.2 impact on 02/11 vs NYK during a brutal 0-for-6 shooting night. Even when he actually found the bottom of the net, hidden costs often dragged down his overall effectiveness. On 02/24 vs IND, he shot an efficient 5-of-8 from the floor but still posted a dismal -5.6 impact because his erratic defensive gambles and poor transition spacing actively harmed the team. Oubre remains a tantalizing athlete, but his utter inability to rein in his worst habits makes him an incredibly volatile rotation piece.
IMPACT TIMELINE
Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.
Volatile for his role. Jr. has noticeable ups and downs, with scoring moving ~7 points between games.
Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 56% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.
Defensive difference-maker. Jr. consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.
Slight upward trend. First-half impact: +3.8, second-half: +5.6. Modest improvement — possibly settling into a rhythm.
Hot right now — 4 straight games with positive impact. Longest positive run this season: 8 games.
MATCHUP HISTORY
Based on 44 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.
ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM
His shooting stats against each primary defender this season
ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED
How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.
SEASON STATS
GAME LOG
51 games played
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