ATL

2025-26 Season

KEATON WALLACE

Atlanta Hawks | Guard | 6-3
Keaton Wallace
3.5 PPG
1.1 RPG
1.8 APG
10.1 MPG
-7.7 Impact

Wallace produces at an poor rate for a 10-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-7.7
Scoring +3.1
Points 3.5 PPG = +2.1
Shot Making above expected FG% = +1.0
Creation +0.2
Creation 1.8 AST/g = +0.2
Turnovers -1.3
Turnovers 0.5/g = -1.3
Defense +0.2
Defense 0.5 STL, 0.1 BLK = +0.2
Hustle & Effort +0.4
Rebounds 1.1 RPG = +0.4
Raw Impact +2.6
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.3
Net Impact
-7.7
3th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 245 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 11th
4.9 PPG
Efficiency 24th
50.0% TS
Playmaking 46th
2.5 APG
Rebounding 7th
1.4 RPG
Defense 70th
+9.2/g
Hustle 5th
+3.8/g
Creation 23th
+1.91/g
Shot Making 19th
+4.47/g
TO Discipline 65th
0.05/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Keaton Wallace’s first twenty games were defined by maddening volatility, oscillating wildly between flawless bench execution and complete offensive invisibility. Sometimes, he found ways to tilt the floor without filling up the stat sheet. On 11/12 vs SAC, Wallace scored just 4 points but generated a +3.8 impact score by turning into an absolute terror on the defensive end, using elite lateral quickness to suffocate opposing ball-handlers. Yet, when handed heavier minutes, the hidden costs of his game quickly bled through. During a rare start on 11/08 vs LAL, he logged 14 points and 7 assists, but his rating plummeted to a disastrous -8.4 impact. That surprising scoring surge was completely hollowed out by atrocious defensive positioning and poor ball security. He looked far more comfortable in a limited sparkplug role, like when he punished defensive lapses with perfect shooting for a +8.5 impact on 10/31 vs IND. Ultimately, his passive approach and frequent inability to control the tempo kept him firmly tethered to the fringes of the rotation.

Keaton Wallace spent this twenty-game stretch battling the harsh reality of life at the end of the bench, alternating between brief flashes of competence and disastrous micro-stints. He occasionally provided a massive jolt of scoring off the pine. On 01/09 vs DEN, he dropped 10 points on 4-of-6 shooting to post a stellar +6.8 impact score. That high rating stemmed directly from capitalizing on brief rotational minutes with ruthless efficiency rather than forcing the issue. Far too often, however, his appearances actively harmed the overall unit. During a brutal showing on 02/26 vs WAS, Wallace logged 13 minutes of complete offensive invisibility, missing all three of his shots and cratering to a disastrous -8.2 impact score. Failing to threaten the rim or connect on spot-up opportunities allowed defenders to aggressively trap his teammates. Even when he managed to find the basket, hidden costs dragged him down; on 12/03 vs LAC, he scored 8 points but still recorded a -3.1 impact because his miserable finishing inside the arc completely negated his perimeter shot-making.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. Wallace has posted negative impact in 94% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 29% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.

Average defender. Wallace doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

In a rough stretch — 20 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 24 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 74 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

D. Jenkins 22.3 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 6
K. Dunn 21.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
A. Mitchell 20.2 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 6
G. Dick 18.6 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.38
PTS 7
J. Shead 16.6 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.18
PTS 3
R. Holland II 16.6 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.18
PTS 3
K. Simpson 15.4 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.32
PTS 5
B. Brown 15.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.33
PTS 5
T. Hardaway Jr. 14.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
B. Carrington 13.5 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

K. Dunn 27.7 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 7
D. Jenkins 26.5 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 7
J. Shead 25.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 3
T. Hardaway Jr. 22.7 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 2
G. Dick 21.4 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.47
PTS 10
A. Mitchell 20.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
C. McCollum 17.8 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.39
PTS 7
N. Smith Jr. 17.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
N. Clifford 15.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.32
PTS 5
B. Brown 15.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

SEASON STATS

53
Games
3.5
PPG
1.1
RPG
1.8
APG
0.5
SPG
0.1
BPG
39.8
FG%
37.3
3P%
66.7
FT%
10.1
MPG

GAME LOG

53 games played