2025-26 Season

JUSTIN EDWARDS

Philadelphia 76ers | Forward | 6-7

2025-26 Season

JUSTIN EDWARDS

Philadelphia 76ers | Forward | 6-7 | Yr 1

6.0 PPG

1.5 RPG

1.2 APG

15.3 MPG

-4.8 Impact

Edwards produces at an below average rate for a 15-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN

Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average

-4.8

Scoring +5.8

Points 6.0 PPG = +4.2

Shot Making above expected FG% = +1.6

Creation +0.3

Creation 1.2 AST/g = +0.3

Turnovers -1.3

Turnovers 0.6/g = -1.3

Defense +0.8

Defense 0.8 STL, 0.2 BLK = +0.8

Hustle & Effort +1.3

Rebounds 1.5 RPG = +1.3

Raw Impact +6.9

Baseline (game-average expected) −11.7

Net Impact

-4.8

19th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

TEAM COMPARISON

#10

Impact

#13

Creation

#13

Hustle

Defense

of 14 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)

Tyrese Maxey +19.4 Joel Embiid +16.1 Paul George +7.2 VJ Edgecombe +6.6 Kelly Oubre Jr. +4.7 Andre Drummond +4.6 Quentin Grimes +0.2 Dominick Barlow +0.1 Cameron Payne -0.7 Justin Edwards -2.8 Adem Bona -3.5 Jabari Walker -3.5 Trendon Watford -3.6 Jared McCain -5.1

Similar Players

Same position, closest production profile this season.

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 234 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 32th

7.0 PPG

Efficiency 25th

52.8% TS

Playmaking 41th

1.5 APG

Rebounding 3th

1.7 RPG

Defense 78th

+9.5/g

Hustle 20th

+8.5/g

Creation 29th

+1.83/g

Shot Making 91th

+9.14/g

TO Discipline 74th

0.04/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

A maddening slump defined the opening stretch of Justin Edwards's season, plagued by erratic shot selection and a recurring inability to stay attached to perimeter assignments. Even when his jumper occasionally fell, hidden costs routinely tanked his overall value on the floor. Look no further than 11/25 vs ORL, where he poured in 13 points on 5/7 shooting but still posted a miserable -3.6 impact score because underlying defensive breakdowns dragged his net value into the red. Conversely, he occasionally found ways to contribute without dominating the box score. During the 12/19 vs NYK game, Edwards managed just 8 points but recorded a highly efficient +5.7 impact score by generating value through active hands in the passing lanes and timely perimeter shooting. Still, those positive blips were vastly outnumbered by nights of sheer offensive futility. Aside from an absolute masterclass of spacing on 11/11 vs BOS—where he torched the nets for 22 points and a staggering +14.5 impact—his persistent bricking routinely allowed defenders to sag off and clog driving lanes. Until he stops bleeding points in transition and forcing contested looks, his minutes will remain a severe liability.

Justin Edwards spent this stretch battling wild inconsistency, oscillating between a reliable bench spark and an active liability. When dialed in, his value was obvious, peaking on 02/09 vs POR. He poured in 12 points and logged a massive +7.1 impact score because his flawless perimeter execution was paired with high-level defensive engagement. He didn't even need high volume to swing a game, generating a stellar +4.3 impact on just 6 points on 01/14 vs CLE by decisively attacking the basket. Yet, even when his outside shot was falling, hidden costs often dragged him down. During the 03/03 vs SAS matchup, he hit three triples for 9 points but still posted a dismal -6.2 impact score due to brutal off-ball defensive lapses and poor closeout angles that constantly compromised the scheme. Until he cleans up those mental errors, his minutes will remain completely erratic.

A volatile mid-March promotion to the starting lineup defined this stretch for Justin Edwards, revealing both his explosive offensive ceiling and his fatal defensive flaws. Before earning that starting nod, he flashed value as a gritty role player on Mar 04 vs UTA. Despite scoring just five points, his smart off-ball cutting and active perimeter defense generated a highly efficient +4.4 impact score. That two-way effort eventually earned him a green light, culminating in a spectacular eruption on Mar 19 vs SAC. Punishing late closeouts with impeccable shot selection, he poured in 32 points and registered a massive +14.5 impact. The momentum did not last. By Mar 25 vs CHI, he had been relegated back to the bench, where a 12-point scoring outburst was completely undone by glaring defensive liabilities that dragged his overall impact down to -0.9. When Edwards stops competing on the less glamorous end of the floor, his scoring simply cannot compensate for the points he bleeds.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

Best Game

32 PTS vs SAC

Mar 19 | +27.9 impact

Worst Game

0 PTS vs ATL

Nov 30 | -19.9 impact

PATTERNS

Struggling. Edwards has posted negative impact in 84% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 43% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Average defender. Edwards doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

Getting better as the season goes on. First-half impact: -7.1, second-half: -2.6. That's a significant jump — could be a role change, confidence, or development clicking.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 5 games. Longest cold streak: 20 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 74 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.