BOS

2025-26 Season

JORDAN WALSH

Boston Celtics | Guard | 6-6
Jordan Walsh
5.4 PPG
4.0 RPG
0.8 APG
17.8 MPG
-2.9 Impact

Walsh produces at an below average rate for a 18-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-2.9
Scoring +5.0
Points 5.4 PPG = +3.9
Shot Making above expected FG% = +1.1
Creation +0.4
Creation 0.8 AST/g = +0.4
Turnovers -1.2
Turnovers 0.5/g = -1.2
Defense +0.1
Defense 0.7 STL, 0.5 BLK = +0.1
Hustle & Effort +3.7
Rebounds 4.0 RPG = +3.7
Raw Impact +8.0
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.9
Net Impact
-2.9
40th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 245 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 17th
5.7 PPG
Efficiency 78th
58.3% TS
Playmaking 6th
0.9 APG
Rebounding 81th
4.3 RPG
Defense 30th
+5.5/g
Hustle 90th
+14.6/g
Creation 57th
+3.02/g
Shot Making 31th
+5.20/g
TO Discipline 91th
0.03/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Jordan Walsh’s opening stretch of the season was defined by a chaotic transition from end-of-bench afterthought to a wildly volatile, high-energy starter. He initially earned his rotation stripes by doing the dirty work. This peaked on 11/11 vs PHI, where he generated a massive +6.3 impact score despite scoring just eight points. Elite defensive dominance and relentless energy plays fueled that rating, completely tilting the floor without requiring heavy offensive touches. However, scoring bursts didn't always translate to winning basketball. During his 11/01 vs HOU appearance, Walsh tallied 10 points but suffered a -1.2 impact because aggressive perimeter hunting couldn't overcome his underlying mistakes on the margins. Just when critics started writing him off as a pure hustle merchant, he erupted on 12/04 vs WAS. Walsh poured in 22 points on flawless 8-for-8 shooting, driving a towering +17.6 impact rating by combining his usual defensive motor with sudden offensive perfection.

A paralyzing bout of offensive passivity defined this brutal stretch for Jordan Walsh, ultimately costing him his spot in the starting lineup. The warning signs peaked early during the 12/20 vs TOR matchup. He actively avoided touches and completely vanished from the flow of the offense, cratering his impact score to a dismal -5.5. Moving to the second unit did little to cure his erratic focus, as a catastrophic string of moving screens and bad reach-in fouls hemorrhaged value and resulted in a staggering -7.2 impact during the 01/09 vs TOR contest. Yet, buried amidst these disappearing acts, Walsh flashed his true ceiling on 01/03 vs LAC. He poured in 13 points and grabbed 13 rebounds in that game, anchoring a massive +7.3 impact through relentless rebounding and elite defensive versatility across multiple positions. When he actually engages, his physical tools translate to winning basketball. Unfortunately, his habitual refusal to attack closeouts renders him a mere spectator far too often.

This stretch of the season was defined by maddening inconsistency, as Jordan Walsh wildly oscillated between game-changing energy wing and complete non-factor. He flashed his absolute ceiling on 02/11 vs CHI, dropping 16 points and generating a massive +14.9 impact score fueled by relentless two-way hustle and exceptional cutting. Even when his jump shot abandoned him, he occasionally found ways to alter games with pure grit. During the 02/08 vs NYK matchup, Walsh scored just 2 points but still posted a +2.4 impact score because his elite defensive versatility and high-energy rotations salvaged the minutes. Yet, his fundamental awareness often betrayed him on the other end of the floor. Look no further than 02/27 vs BKN, where he drilled all of his field goals but still cratered with a dismal -6.0 impact. Despite perfect shooting, his complete inability to execute defensive rotations bled points and entirely erased his offensive contributions.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Walsh's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~5 points per game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 52% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Walsh consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: -0.9, second-half: -4.8. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 6 games. Longest cold streak: 9 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 72 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

J. Johnson 44.0 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 4
M. Porter Jr. 42.5 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 6
C. McCollum 40.5 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.2
PTS 8
J. Collins 33.3 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
D. Mitchell 31.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
J. Walker 30.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 2
C. Cunningham 30.4 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 3
D. Robinson 30.3 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 8
B. Portis 28.1 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.14
PTS 4
P. Nance 24.8 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 6

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

C. McCollum 77.2 poss
FG% 26.1%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 18
J. Harden 58.7 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.32
PTS 19
C. Cunningham 52.7 poss
FG% 30.8%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.32
PTS 17
D. Mitchell 43.0 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 4
M. Porter Jr. 32.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 3
T. Maxey 32.6 poss
FG% 10.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 4
S. Barnes 31.1 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 4
T. McConnell 30.4 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 5
P. Siakam 29.6 poss
FG% 75.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 7
F. Wagner 24.5 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 2

SEASON STATS

68
Games
5.4
PPG
4.0
RPG
0.8
APG
0.7
SPG
0.5
BPG
50.9
FG%
38.4
3P%
77.2
FT%
17.8
MPG

GAME LOG

68 games played