2025-26 Season
JAREN JACKSON JR.
2025-26 Season
JAREN JACKSON JR.
PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology
TEAM COMPARISON
of 19 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)
Similar Players
Same position, closest production profile this season.
SKILL DNA
Percentile rank vs 234 Forwards with 10+ games
THE SEASON SO FAR
Jaren Jackson Jr.'s opening stretch was defined by a maddening inconsistency, oscillating wildly between dominant interior anchoring and empty-calorie gunning. When his jumper failed him, he could still salvage his nightly value through sheer defensive intimidation. During the 11/05 vs HOU matchup, his offensive touch completely vanished en route to just 9 points, yet elite weak-side help kept his impact in the green at +1.5. Conversely, his highest-scoring nights often carried heavy hidden costs. Look no further than his 26-point outing on 11/15 vs CLE, where a disastrous 6-for-23 shooting performance fed directly into opponent transition attacks and dragged his impact down to -1.1. He even managed a dismal -6.9 impact score on 10/31 vs LAL despite an incredibly efficient 15 points, simply because a disastrous defensive showing erased all his offensive equity. To become a reliable franchise pillar, Jackson must stop letting forced perimeter shots and sporadic defensive lapses dictate his overall worth.
This stretch of the season was defined by a volatile tug-of-war between terrifying defensive dominance and maddening offensive inconsistency. Jackson frequently controlled games without actually shooting well. On 12/07 vs POR, he managed just 6 points but posted a +4.3 impact score because his relentless rim deterrence completely altered the geometry of the court. Conversely, his scoring volume sometimes actively hurt the team. During the 12/23 vs UTA matchup, he dropped 21 points but recorded a -0.7 impact score because hidden costs like live-ball turnovers dragged down his overall value. When he actually married offensive execution with his elite weak-side help, the results were devastating. Look no further than 12/26 vs MIL, where he tallied 24 points and a massive +14.8 impact score by utterly suffocating the opponent's interior attack.
IMPACT TIMELINE
Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.
Very consistent. Jr. posts positive impact in 81% of games — you almost always get a productive night. Scoring varies by ~6 points, but the overall contribution stays positive.
Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 60% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.
Defensive difference-maker. Jr. consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.
Getting better as the season goes on. First-half impact: +4.3, second-half: +9.7. That's a significant jump — could be a role change, confidence, or development clicking.
Hot right now — 8 straight games with positive impact. Longest positive run this season: 8 games.
MATCHUP HISTORY
Based on 46 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.
ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM
His shooting stats against each primary defender this season
ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED
How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.
SEASON STATS
GAME LOG
48 games played
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