ATL

2025-26 Season

JALEN JOHNSON

Atlanta Hawks | Forward | 6-8
Jalen Johnson
22.5 PPG
10.2 RPG
7.8 APG
35.2 MPG
+15.6 Impact

Johnson produces at an elite rate for a 35-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+15.6
Scoring +20.0
Points 22.5 PPG = +15.6
Shot Making above expected FG% = +4.4
Creation +2.3
Creation 7.8 AST/g = +2.3
Turnovers -7.8
Turnovers 3.4/g = -7.8
Defense +1.2
Defense 1.2 STL, 0.4 BLK = +1.2
Hustle & Effort +8.2
Rebounds 10.2 RPG = +8.2
Raw Impact +23.9
Baseline (game-average expected) −8.3
Net Impact
+15.6
96th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 234 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 95th
22.5 PPG
Efficiency 58th
57.8% TS
Playmaking 99th
7.8 APG
Rebounding 98th
10.2 RPG
Defense 100th
+16.6/g
Hustle 96th
+22.9/g
Creation 98th
+5.78/g
Shot Making 95th
+9.75/g
TO Discipline 3th
0.10/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Jalen Johnson spent the opening stretch of the 2025-26 season transforming from a versatile forward into an absolute offensive engine. His evolution reached a terrifying peak on 11/13 vs UTA. He erupted for 31 points, 18 rebounds, and 14 assists, generating a monstrous +19.7 impact score by completely neutralizing frontcourt assignments as an elite defensive anchor. High-volume creation does come with a learning curve, however. During his 11/07 vs TOR matchup, Johnson scored an efficient 21 points, but a -3.8 impact score revealed how hidden costs and underlying issues dragged his actual net value firmly into the red. That sloppiness bottomed out on 11/25 vs WAS, where a plague of costly turnovers and a severe drop in offensive aggression resulted in a dismal -15.8 impact score alongside just 7 points. Yet, when he pairs his relentless transition attacks with suffocating defensive versatility, Johnson dictates the entire geometry of the floor.

Extreme volatility and maddening inconsistency defined this wildly erratic twenty-game stretch for Jalen Johnson. When fully engaged, he operated as an unstoppable offensive engine. Look no further than 12/31 vs MIN, where his absolute mastery of transition offense and ruthless mismatch hunting generated a staggering +22.0 impact score to go with 34 points. Yet, eye-popping box scores frequently concealed terrible habits that actively hurt his team. During 01/03 vs TOR, Johnson stuffed the sheet with 30 points, 7 rebounds, and 9 assists, but his tendency to hunt selfish, low-quality shots dragged his actual impact down to a harmful -3.2. He repeated this exact script on 12/23 vs CHI. Despite scoring 24 points, his brutal perimeter inefficiency—including a 1-for-7 mark from deep—and forced isolation attempts completely derailed the offense, resulting in a -4.8 impact. He clearly possesses the physical tools to break the paint at will, but until he stops settling for heavily contested jumpers, his nightly value will remain a frustrating coin flip.

Jalen Johnson’s midseason stretch was defined by a maddening tug-of-war between overwhelming physical dominance and self-sabotaging shot selection. When he leveraged his immense size to attack downhill, he looked entirely unstoppable, posting a monstrous +17.6 impact score on 01/31 vs IND by generating high-quality looks to finish with 33 points, 11 rebounds, and 10 assists. Yet, his gaudy box scores frequently masked hidden costs. On 02/22 vs BKN, he stuffed the stat sheet with 26 points and 12 rebounds, but his overall impact sank to a -4.3 because a high volume of empty possessions and forced attacks into heavy traffic derailed the offense. Conversely, Johnson was fully capable of shifting games without dominating the ball. During a brief six-minute stint on 02/24 vs WAS, he scored just 5 points but still generated a stellar +5.4 impact score through an incredibly dense burst of defensive activity. If he stops settling for clunky isolations and embraces his identity as a relentless two-way force, his ceiling remains limitless.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Very consistent. Johnson posts positive impact in 95% of games — you almost always get a productive night. Scoring varies by ~8 points, but the overall contribution stays positive.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 68% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Johnson consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Small downward trend. First-half impact: +16.8, second-half: +14.5. Not alarming yet, but trending the wrong direction.

Hot right now — 18 straight games with positive impact. Longest positive run this season: 20 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 70 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

S. Barnes 123.8 poss
FG% 71.4%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.21
PTS 26
D. Barlow 117.5 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 28.6%
PPP 0.22
PTS 26
P. Banchero 104.2 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 18
A. Thompson 81.8 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.21
PTS 17
T. Camara 77.1 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.03
PTS 2
O. Anunoby 76.9 poss
FG% 53.3%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 19
S. Hauser 68.1 poss
FG% 29.4%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.19
PTS 13
D. Brooks 66.8 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 7
N. Clowney 65.4 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 16.7%
PPP 0.29
PTS 19
G. Antetokounmpo 63.3 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 5

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

D. Barlow 142.5 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 10
M. Bridges 122.6 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 18
T. Harris 113.1 poss
FG% 40.7%
3P% 42.9%
PPP 0.24
PTS 27
S. Barnes 108.3 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 8
P. Banchero 103.4 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 20
M. Buzelis 92.4 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 60.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 16
N. Clowney 86.2 poss
FG% 28.6%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 6
M. Turner 84.0 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 62.5%
PPP 0.25
PTS 21
O. Anunoby 71.8 poss
FG% 27.3%
3P% 16.7%
PPP 0.11
PTS 8
J. Walker 71.7 poss
FG% 45.5%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.17
PTS 12

SEASON STATS

73
Games
22.5
PPG
10.2
RPG
7.8
APG
1.2
SPG
0.4
BPG
48.8
FG%
35.3
3P%
79.0
FT%
35.2
MPG

GAME LOG

73 games played