MIL

2025-26 Season

GARY TRENT JR.

Milwaukee Bucks | Guard | 6-5
Gary Trent Jr.
8.1 PPG
1.0 RPG
1.2 APG
21.2 MPG
-5.4 Impact

Jr. produces at an poor rate for a 21-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-5.4
Scoring +7.0
Points 8.1 PPG = +4.7
Shot Making above expected FG% = +2.3
Creation +0.3
Creation 1.2 AST/g = +0.3
Turnovers -1.5
Turnovers 0.6/g = -1.5
Defense +0.1
Defense 0.5 STL, 0.0 BLK = +0.1
Hustle & Effort +0.5
Rebounds 1.0 RPG = +0.5
Raw Impact +6.4
Baseline (game-average expected) −11.8
Net Impact
-5.4
21st pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 245 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 44th
8.7 PPG
Efficiency 19th
48.7% TS
Playmaking 18th
1.3 APG
Rebounding 2th
1.1 RPG
Defense 37th
+6.4/g
Hustle 5th
+3.8/g
Creation 31th
+2.18/g
Shot Making 93th
+10.50/g
TO Discipline 91th
0.03/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Gary Trent Jr.'s opening stretch of the season was defined by a maddening apathy that eventually cost him his starting job, as defensive lapses and perimeter passivity repeatedly burned his team. Even when his jumper caught fire, hidden costs ruined his value. Take his 11/01 vs SAC performance, where he poured in 17 points on a blistering 5-for-7 from the field. Despite that elite shooting efficiency, he posted a -5.0 impact because his scoring was completely undone by defensive bleeding and costly turnovers. Oddly enough, he was far more valuable when his shot abandoned him on 10/30 vs GSW. He clanked his way to a miserable 4-for-14 shooting night but still managed a +3.3 impact, completely redeeming himself with relentless hustle plays that kept the rotation afloat. Unfortunately, those flashes of effort vanished once he was relegated to the second unit. During his 11/20 vs PHI outing, he sleepwalked to an abysmal -13.9 impact simply by floating around the perimeter without applying any meaningful rim pressure or off-ball movement.

A brutal shooting slump and an alarming lack of secondary effort defined this agonizing twenty-game stretch for Gary Trent Jr. When thrust into the starting lineup on 12/18 vs TOR, he operated as an absolute offensive black hole, posting a disastrous -12.3 impact score because his forced, contested jumpers repeatedly short-circuited possessions. Even when his shots actually fell, his one-dimensional play severely dragged down his overall value. Look no further than 01/27 vs PHI, where he scored 13 points on 4-of-9 shooting from deep but still bled a dismal -7.0 impact score. Settling exclusively for perimeter looks made his offensive profile entirely predictable, bringing zero playmaking or rebounding to the floor. His only genuinely efficient moments came in microscopic doses, like on 12/23 vs IND when he generated a +4.1 impact score despite scoring just 5 points. In that brief five-minute window, flawless execution and a refusal to force bad shots finally provided the team with a highly concentrated burst of positive rotation value.

This twenty-game stretch was a masterclass in how erratic shot selection and a refusal to engage off the ball can completely tank a rotation player's value. Trent operated as an offensive black hole, routinely settling for heavily contested jumpers instead of attacking closeouts to create for others. Look no further than the 03/08 vs ORL matchup, where he chucked his way to 9 points and a brutal -11.8 impact score because his abysmal 1-for-9 shooting from deep acted as a turnover equivalent. Even when his jumper caught fire, his one-dimensional approach carried hidden costs. He poured in 15 points on 5-of-8 shooting from beyond the arc on 02/03 vs CHI, yet still posted a -2.2 impact score because his blistering shot-making was dragged down by a complete lack of secondary playmaking. The absolute nadir arrived on 03/25 vs POR. Trent threw up a barrage of empty perimeter attempts, finishing with zero points on 0-for-7 shooting and a catastrophic -13.5 impact score that completely derailed the offensive flow.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Struggling. Jr. has posted negative impact in 80% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 38% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.

Defensive impact is minimal for a 21-minute player. Not generating enough contests, rim protection, or forced turnovers to move the needle.

Performance has dropped off. First-half impact: -3.8, second-half: -6.9. Worth watching whether it's fatigue, injury, or opponents adjusting.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 3 games. Longest cold streak: 13 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 72 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

B. Ingram 82.7 poss
FG% 30.0%
3P% 37.5%
PPP 0.11
PTS 9
D. Garland 51.4 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.1
PTS 5
T. Maxey 41.4 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 2
V. Edgecombe 41.0 poss
FG% 14.3%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 3
K. Middleton 40.3 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.07
PTS 3
C. Sexton 39.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
C. Love 37.5 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 5
J. Brunson 35.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 3
J. Walker 35.9 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
W. Riley 34.8 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 3

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

B. Ingram 85.0 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 19
B. Carrington 41.9 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.19
PTS 8
M. Christie 36.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
C. Sexton 36.2 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 10
J. Walker 35.3 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.06
PTS 2
K. Middleton 31.0 poss
FG% 45.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.32
PTS 10
S. James 30.0 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 2
R. Westbrook 29.9 poss
FG% 28.6%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.17
PTS 5
V. Edgecombe 29.8 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 2
K. George 29.4 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 2

SEASON STATS

65
Games
8.1
PPG
1.0
RPG
1.2
APG
0.5
SPG
0.0
BPG
38.7
FG%
36.0
3P%
76.9
FT%
21.2
MPG

GAME LOG

65 games played