IND

2025-26 Season

ETHAN THOMPSON

Indiana Pacers | Guard | 6-4
Ethan Thompson
7.0 PPG
2.2 RPG
1.8 APG
20.4 MPG
-4.5 Impact

Thompson produces at an below average rate for a 20-minute workload. Defensive impact (-1.1/game) is a concern.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-4.5
Scoring +6.0
Points 7.0 PPG = +4.2
Shot Making above expected FG% = +1.8
Creation +0.7
Creation 1.8 AST/g = +0.7
Turnovers -1.9
Turnovers 0.8/g = -1.9
Defense -1.1
Defense 0.6 STL, 0.3 BLK = -1.1
Hustle & Effort +1.7
Rebounds 2.2 RPG = +1.7
Raw Impact +5.4
Baseline (game-average expected) −9.9
Net Impact
-4.5
28th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 245 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 45th
8.8 PPG
Efficiency 31th
52.0% TS
Playmaking 39th
2.2 APG
Rebounding 45th
2.7 RPG
Defense 21th
+5.0/g
Hustle 16th
+5.4/g
Creation 72th
+3.48/g
Shot Making 45th
+6.21/g
TO Discipline 75th
0.04/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Ethan Thompson’s first twenty games were defined by maddening inconsistency, oscillating wildly between high-energy defensive cameos and disastrous offensive black holes. Sometimes, he swung momentum without ever looking at the rim. On 12/03 vs DEN, for example, Thompson logged zero points in three minutes but still posted a +2.7 impact score by relying entirely on stout defensive effort. Even when he managed to reach double figures, his erratic shot selection frequently torpedoed the offense. During a brutal -9.7 impact showing on 01/17 vs DET, Thompson scored 10 points but needed 13 shots to get there, repeatedly forcing bad perimeter looks that killed any half-court rhythm. The wheels completely fell off on 12/27 vs MIA. A horrific blend of offensive invisibility and poor defensive positioning resulted in a staggering -16.2 impact score. While he flashes brief moments of value as a disruptive defender, his tendency to hijack possessions with terrible shots makes him a glaring liability.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Inconsistent. Thompson has clear good-night/bad-night splits, with scoring swinging ~7 points between games. You're never quite sure which version shows up.

Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 35% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.

Defensive impact is minimal for a 20-minute player. Not generating enough contests, rim protection, or forced turnovers to move the needle.

Getting better as the season goes on. First-half impact: -6.0, second-half: -2.9. That's a significant jump — could be a role change, confidence, or development clicking.

Hot right now — 4 straight games with positive impact. Longest positive run this season: 4 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 33 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

P. Pritchard 37.6 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.08
PTS 3
Q. Grimes 24.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 2
D. White 23.7 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.13
PTS 3
J. Green 22.6 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 2
C. White 20.6 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.29
PTS 6
Z. LaVine 19.5 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 3
K. Knueppel 19.2 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 3
J. Ivey 19.1 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 2
C. McCollum 18.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
A. Simons 16.8 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

D. White 34.5 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.46
PTS 16
K. Murray 26.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.19
PTS 5
J. Green 26.1 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.38
PTS 10
P. Pritchard 24.2 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.33
PTS 8
B. Carrington 23.5 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
A. Green 20.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
Q. Grimes 19.3 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 3
K. Knueppel 17.4 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.34
PTS 6
M. Buzelis 16.9 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 5
J. Hardy 16.1 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.12
PTS 2

SEASON STATS

32
Games
7.0
PPG
2.2
RPG
1.8
APG
0.6
SPG
0.3
BPG
37.8
FG%
32.8
3P%
78.7
FT%
20.4
MPG

GAME LOG

32 games played