2025-26 Season

DUNCAN ROBINSON

Detroit Pistons | Forward | 6-7

2025-26 Season

DUNCAN ROBINSON

Detroit Pistons | Forward | 6-7 | Yr 7

12.2 PPG

2.7 RPG

2.1 APG

27.4 MPG

+2.5 Impact

Robinson produces at an above average rate for a 27-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN

Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average

+2.5

Scoring +11.5

Points 12.2 PPG = +8.2

Shot Making above expected FG% = +3.3

Creation +0.7

Creation 2.1 AST/g = +0.7

Turnovers -1.6

Turnovers 0.7/g = -1.6

Defense -0.7

Defense 0.6 STL, 0.3 BLK = -0.7

Hustle & Effort +1.6

Rebounds 2.7 RPG = +1.6

Raw Impact +11.5

Baseline (game-average expected) −9.0

Net Impact

+2.5

66th pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

TEAM COMPARISON

Impact

#10

Creation

#11

Hustle

#11

Defense

of 15 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)

Jalen Duren +18.5 Cade Cunningham +13.8 Ausar Thompson +5.7 Tobias Harris +5.7 Paul Reed +5.4 Duncan Robinson +2.5 Isaiah Stewart +1.0 Kevin Huerter +0.5 Javonte Green -0.2 Daniss Jenkins -0.9 Ronald Holland II -2.1 Jaden Ivey -2.7 Marcus Sasser -2.7 Chaz Lanier -4.6 Caris LeVert -5.3

Similar Players

Same position, closest production profile this season.

Olivier-Maxence Prosper

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 234 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 67th

12.2 PPG

Efficiency 86th

62.4% TS

Playmaking 64th

2.1 APG

Rebounding 16th

2.7 RPG

Defense 26th

+5.2/g

Hustle 10th

+6.7/g

Creation 47th

+2.28/g

Shot Making 73th

+7.40/g

TO Discipline 94th

0.03/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Duncan Robinson’s opening stretch of the 2025-26 season was defined by extreme volatility, oscillating wildly between lethal off-ball gravity and glaring defensive liabilities. His campaign began with an absolute thud on 10/22 vs CHI, where a miserable 0-for-5 night from deep yielded a catastrophic -20.8 impact score as he failed to generate any offensive rhythm. He eventually found his stroke, peaking on 11/12 vs CHI when he poured in 23 points on 7-of-10 shooting from beyond the arc. That scorching efficiency created a +5.0 impact score, because his constant off-ball motion warped the opposing defensive shell and opened massive driving lanes for his teammates. Yet, even when his shot was falling, hidden costs frequently dragged his overall value into the red. During the 10/29 vs ORL matchup, Robinson tallied a highly efficient 15 points on 4-of-6 three-point shooting, but unseen mistakes resulted in a frustrating -2.6 impact score. Opposing wings ruthlessly hunted him in pick-and-roll switches all month, bleeding points that frequently erased the undeniable value of his elite perimeter spacing.

A volatile shooting slump laid bare the glaring hidden costs of keeping Duncan Robinson on the floor. When his outside shot abandoned him, his overall value plummeted into the abyss. This was painfully obvious on 01/23 vs HOU, where a frigid 2-for-8 night from deep resulted in a staggering -12.2 impact score. His defense remained a massive liability. Even when he scored reasonably well, opponents ruthlessly hunted him to bleed his value dry, like on 01/25 vs SAC where his 13 points were erased by isolation targeting for a -4.2 impact. He wasn't entirely useless. During his 01/17 vs IND appearance, his lethal perimeter marksmanship stretched the defense to its breaking point, generating a robust +7.3 impact score on just 16 points. Ultimately, this stretch revealed a highly vulnerable specialist who completely craters your lineup the second his jumper stops falling.

Extreme volatility and a terrifying reliance on perimeter efficiency defined this chaotic stretch of the season for Duncan Robinson. Even when his raw scoring totals looked impressive, hidden costs frequently dragged down his overall value. On 02/05 vs WAS, he dropped 21 points but posted a -1.2 impact score because his missed deep shots constantly fueled opponent fast breaks. He occasionally managed to keep his head above water when the shot wasn't falling by locking in on the other end of the floor. During the 02/01 vs BKN matchup, Robinson scored just 8 points but still managed a +0.5 impact by showing surprising defensive discipline while navigating off-ball screens. Unfortunately, those gritty moments were often erased by total offensive freeze-outs. His value absolutely cratered to a -14.4 impact on 03/01 vs ORL after he missed all four of his perimeter looks and failed to score a single point. When his jumper abandons him, defenders simply cheat off his assignments and blow up the entire offensive scheme.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

Best Game

15 PTS vs MIL

Nov 23 | +17.3 impact

Worst Game

1 PTS vs TOR

Mar 15 | -17.6 impact

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Robinson's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~5 points per game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 53% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Average defender. Robinson doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 8 games. Longest cold streak: 3 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 74 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.