MIA

2025-26 Season

DAVION MITCHELL

Miami Heat | Guard | 6-0
Davion Mitchell
9.6 PPG
2.7 RPG
6.5 APG
28.8 MPG
-2.7 Impact

Mitchell produces at an below average rate for a 29-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-2.7
Scoring +8.9
Points 9.6 PPG = +6.4
Shot Making above expected FG% = +2.5
Creation +0.8
Creation 6.5 AST/g = +0.8
Turnovers -3.5
Turnovers 1.5/g = -3.5
Hustle & Effort +1.7
Rebounds 2.7 RPG = +1.7
Raw Impact +7.9
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.6
Net Impact
-2.7
41st pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 245 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 52th
9.6 PPG
Efficiency 77th
58.1% TS
Playmaking 92th
6.5 APG
Rebounding 44th
2.7 RPG
Defense 33th
+5.6/g
Hustle 48th
+8.9/g
Creation 55th
+2.99/g
Shot Making 66th
+7.57/g
TO Discipline 56th
0.05/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Davion Mitchell’s first twenty games were defined by a maddening offensive passivity that routinely sabotaged his elite defensive hustle. Look at the 11/10 vs CLE matchup, where he posted 11 points and 8 assists but registered a disastrous -18.0 impact score because his telegraphed passes consistently ignited opponent fast breaks. His hesitation to attack the rim became an equally glaring liability during the 10/24 vs MEM contest. Despite handing out 6 assists in that game, he completely vanished as a scoring threat, allowing defenders to sag off him and clog passing lanes for a dismal -12.3 impact. He occasionally flipped the script through sheer defensive terror, most notably on 11/08 vs POR. On that night, he tallied just 11 points but generated a massive +13.0 impact by blowing up Portland's offensive schemes with suffocating ball pressure. Ultimately, Mitchell operates as a double-edged sword who must relentlessly attack the paint to prevent his offensive limitations from erasing his defensive brilliance.

This twenty-game stretch was defined by a brutal slump, where brilliant two-way flashes were buried under an avalanche of offensive passivity. Even when his counting stats looked respectable, hidden costs dragged him down. During the 12/21 vs NYK matchup, Mitchell tallied an efficient 13 points and eight assists, yet his impact score cratered to -8.2 because costly live-ball turnovers and poor transition defense bled points the other way. Conversely, his 01/19 vs GSW performance revealed how his motor can salvage a night when his shooting touch completely abandons him. Despite going a miserable 1-for-6 from the floor for just seven points, his elite point-of-attack harassment generated a +1.

This midseason stretch was defined by maddening offensive passivity and inconsistent point-of-attack resistance that routinely sabotaged Davion Mitchell's overall value. Take the 02/09 vs UTA matchup, where he shot a perfect 3-for-3 from the floor for 12 points but still posted a -5.0 impact score because opposing wings relentlessly hunted him on switches. Conversely, he found ways to tilt the floor without scoring during the 02/20 vs ATL game. Despite managing only 7 points, he recorded a +3.6 impact as his off-ball pressure and point-of-attack harassment drove stellar defensive value. Yet, when he tried to force the issue offensively, the results were disastrous. During the 03/21 vs HOU contest, Mitchell tallied 15 points and 9 assists, but a dismal -7.3 impact revealed how poor shot selection completely negated his playmaking volume.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Mitchell's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~5 points per game.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 60% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Mitchell locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

Slight upward trend. First-half impact: -3.5, second-half: -1.8. Modest improvement — possibly settling into a rhythm.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 3 games. Longest cold streak: 11 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 75 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

T. Maxey 83.3 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 60.0%
PPP 0.22
PTS 18
C. Cunningham 78.0 poss
FG% 53.8%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.21
PTS 16
L. Ball 67.7 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.15
PTS 10
J. Brunson 66.5 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.18
PTS 12
R. Sheppard 62.4 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 8
B. Carrington 59.3 poss
FG% 42.9%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 6
I. Quickley 58.3 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 75.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 11
M. McBride 57.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.09
PTS 5
R. Rollins 55.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.05
PTS 3
J. Harden 55.2 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 25.0%
PPP 0.09
PTS 5

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. Harden 104.3 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.19
PTS 20
D. Bane 93.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.31
PTS 29
C. Cunningham 90.3 poss
FG% 27.8%
3P% 28.6%
PPP 0.16
PTS 14
T. Maxey 82.3 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 28.6%
PPP 0.22
PTS 18
J. Brunson 64.9 poss
FG% 56.2%
3P% 66.7%
PPP 0.43
PTS 28
M. McBride 64.9 poss
FG% 46.2%
3P% 42.9%
PPP 0.23
PTS 15
J. Murray 63.2 poss
FG% 46.7%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 17
L. Ball 63.1 poss
FG% 58.3%
3P% 57.1%
PPP 0.38
PTS 24
R. Rollins 60.6 poss
FG% 37.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 8
A. Edwards 56.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 75.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 16

SEASON STATS

71
Games
9.6
PPG
2.7
RPG
6.5
APG
1.0
SPG
0.2
BPG
49.0
FG%
39.7
3P%
64.6
FT%
28.8
MPG

GAME LOG

71 games played