2025-26 Season

CARTER BRYANT

San Antonio Spurs | Forward | 6-6

2025-26 Season

CARTER BRYANT

San Antonio Spurs | Forward | 6-6 | Yr 0

4.2 PPG

2.5 RPG

0.7 APG

11.5 MPG

-8.1 Impact

Bryant produces at an poor rate for a 12-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN

Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average

-8.1

Scoring +3.2

Points 4.2 PPG = +2.3

Shot Making above expected FG% = +0.9

Creation +0.2

Creation 0.7 AST/g = +0.2

Turnovers -1.1

Turnovers 0.5/g = -1.1

Defense -0.5

Defense 0.2 STL, 0.3 BLK = -0.5

Hustle & Effort +1.7

Rebounds 2.5 RPG = +1.7

Raw Impact +3.5

Baseline (game-average expected) −11.6

Net Impact

-8.1

1st pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

TEAM COMPARISON

#13

Impact

#11

Creation

#11

Hustle

#13

Defense

of 13 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)

Victor Wembanyama +23.7 De'Aaron Fox +8.0 Keldon Johnson +6.0 Devin Vassell +5.2 Stephon Castle +4.7 Julian Champagnie +3.3 Luke Kornet +2.3 Dylan Harper +1.0 Harrison Barnes +0.1 Lindy Waters III -4.1 Jeremy Sochan -4.2 Kelly Olynyk -4.7 Carter Bryant -6.5

Similar Players

Same position, closest production profile this season.

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 234 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 15th

4.9 PPG

Efficiency 7th

46.5% TS

Playmaking 9th

0.7 APG

Rebounding 20th

2.8 RPG

Defense 12th

+4.4/g

Hustle 15th

+7.6/g

Creation 22th

+1.62/g

Shot Making 41th

+5.21/g

TO Discipline 72th

0.04/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Carter Bryant’s early 2025-26 campaign was defined by a desperate, often erratic search for a stable role at the end of the bench. When given extended run, he routinely sank the second unit with empty possessions and blown coverages. Look no further than 11/30 vs MIN, where a scoreless 15-minute stint yielded a disastrous -10.4 impact score due to severe defensive miscommunications and absolute offensive invisibility. His lone bright spot arrived on 11/02 vs PHX, where a sudden 10-point outburst and surprisingly rigid perimeter defense resulted in a massive +9.0 impact mark. Yet, even when his shot actually fell, hidden defensive costs often wrecked his overall value. During his 12/17 vs WAS appearance, Bryant shot a perfect 2-for-2 from the field for 5 points, but terrible structural mistakes still left him with a -2.9 impact score. He plays like a guy who knows his minutes are fleeting. Instead of letting the game come to him, he rushes the action and bleeds value on the margins.

Carter Bryant's midseason stretch was defined by maddening offensive volatility, oscillating between total invisibility and sudden, chaotic scoring bursts. During a disastrous 01/15 vs MIL appearance, he logged 20 minutes and grabbed 5 rebounds, but his complete offensive ineptitude—clanking all six of his shots—resulted in a brutal -6.4 impact score. You simply cannot survive as a wing in this league when defenders completely ignore you. He finally flipped the script on 01/19 vs UTA, posting a stellar +6.9 impact by pouring in 11 points through opportunistic cuts and relentless transition finishes. Yet, even when the ball went through the hoop, poor decision-making often dragged down his overall value. Look at his 02/01 vs ORL outing, where he managed 6 points but still posted a -3.4 impact because he settled for contested, early-clock jumpers that short-circuited the offensive flow. Until Bryant learns to balance his aggression and eliminate his passive tendencies, he will remain a frustrating rotational gamble rather than a reliable asset.

Carter Bryant’s midseason stretch was defined by a maddening inconsistency where his actual on-court value rarely matched his box score. Take his performance on 02/10 vs LAL. He poured in 16 points, but underlying inefficiencies dragged his overall impact down to a -1.6. When his shot stopped falling completely, the results were catastrophic. On 02/26 vs BKN, Bryant forced wild jumpers and blew easy layups in a scoreless nightmare that cratered his impact to a brutal -11.6. Yet, he occasionally found ways to be highly effective without demanding the ball. He posted a +4.3 impact with just five points on 03/06 vs LAC simply by relying on high-octane defensive energy and perfect shot selection. To survive in this league, he must realize that flying around as a low-usage connector yields far better results than playing erratic hero ball.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

Best Game

17 PTS vs POR

Apr 08 | +10.3 impact

Worst Game

0 PTS vs NYK

Jan 01 | -17.3 impact

PATTERNS

Struggling. Bryant has posted negative impact in 90% of games this season. The production rarely outweighs the cost.

Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 40% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.

Average defender. Bryant doesn't hurt you defensively, but he's not making opponents uncomfortable either.

Getting better as the season goes on. First-half impact: -9.8, second-half: -6.5. That's a significant jump — could be a role change, confidence, or development clicking.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 2 games. Longest cold streak: 33 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 77 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.