POR

2025-26 Season

CALEB LOVE

Portland Trail Blazers | Guard | 6-3
Caleb Love
10.4 PPG
2.3 RPG
2.5 APG
20.7 MPG
-2.3 Impact

Love produces at an below average rate for a 21-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
-2.3
Scoring +8.4
Points 10.4 PPG = +5.6
Shot Making above expected FG% = +2.8
Creation +0.7
Creation 2.5 AST/g = +0.7
Turnovers -3.0
Turnovers 1.3/g = -3.0
Defense +0.5
Defense 0.6 STL, 0.1 BLK = +0.5
Hustle & Effort +1.6
Rebounds 2.3 RPG = +1.6
Raw Impact +8.2
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.5
Net Impact
-2.3
47th pctl vs Guards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 245 Guards with 10+ games

Scoring 59th
11.2 PPG
Efficiency 6th
43.7% TS
Playmaking 53th
2.7 APG
Rebounding 39th
2.5 RPG
Defense 42th
+6.8/g
Hustle 41th
+7.9/g
Creation 49th
+2.74/g
Shot Making 61th
+7.15/g
TO Discipline 42th
0.06/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Caleb Love's early season was defined by a chaotic, green-light mentality off the bench that yielded wildly unpredictable returns. When his quick trigger actually found the bottom of the net, as it did on 11/21 vs GSW, his unrelenting perimeter aggression fueled a 26-point explosion and a +5.9 impact score. Far too often, however, his severe tunnel vision hijacked the second unit entirely. Look no further than 11/23 vs OKC, where a horrendous 3-for-13 shooting display and a total lack of rhythm dragged him to a catastrophic -18.4 impact score. Even when the raw point totals looked respectable, hidden costs routinely plagued his floor game. During a 13-point outing on 11/24 vs MIL, his tendency to force ill-advised, early-clock shots generated a -4.7 impact score despite the scoring surge. He operates as a pure volume chucker who shoots his team out of just as many possessions as he saves.

Caleb Love’s second quarter of the season was defined by maddening volatility, oscillating wildly between game-breaking perimeter explosions and deeply damaging shot-chasing. When his jumper falls, he looks like a legitimate weapon. He caught fire from deep on 12/29 vs DAL, pouring in 24 points to generate a massive +10.1 impact score by completely transforming the offense and punishing defenders. Yet, his insatiable appetite for contested looks frequently sabotages his own production. Look no further than 01/22 vs MIA, where he tallied 20 points but posted a -3.6 impact because reckless shot selection and forced early-clock attempts entirely wiped out his scoring value. The hidden costs of his game also extend to the other end of the floor. On 01/23 vs TOR, catastrophic transition defense resulted in a brutal -10.0 impact despite a decent offensive rhythm. He remains a tantalizing talent, but his stubborn ball-stopping habits keep his overall value wildly unpredictable.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Boom-or-bust player. Love's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~8 points per game.

Streaky shooter — only cracks 45% from the field in 33% of games. Efficiency is all over the place night-to-night.

Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Love locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.

Slight upward trend. First-half impact: -3.8, second-half: -0.9. Modest improvement — possibly settling into a rhythm.

In a rough stretch — 7 straight games with negative impact. Longest cold streak this season: 7 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 48 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

A. Mitchell 47.9 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 11
B. Podziemski 45.1 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.11
PTS 5
B. Williams 31.4 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 8
P. Pritchard 30.5 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 4
C. Porter Jr. 29.2 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 7
C. Gillespie 27.8 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 2
D. Schröder 26.8 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.26
PTS 7
D. Fox 26.7 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.19
PTS 5
W. Clayton Jr. 25.8 poss
FG% 20.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 2
A. Simons 24.4 poss
FG% 11.1%
3P% 14.3%
PPP 0.12
PTS 3

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

B. Podziemski 51.1 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.25
PTS 13
P. Pritchard 45.2 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.11
PTS 5
A. Mitchell 37.7 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.16
PTS 6
G. Trent Jr. 37.5 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.13
PTS 5
W. Clayton Jr. 28.5 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 2
J. Small 27.3 poss
FG% 100.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 7
B. Williams 25.5 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.08
PTS 2
I. Joe 25.5 poss
FG% 33.3%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.12
PTS 3
M. McBride 25.4 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.0
PTS 0
D. Schröder 24.9 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.24
PTS 6

SEASON STATS

49
Games
10.4
PPG
2.3
RPG
2.5
APG
0.6
SPG
0.1
BPG
38.8
FG%
31.8
3P%
73.5
FT%
20.7
MPG

GAME LOG

49 games played