CHA

2025-26 Season

BRANDON MILLER

Charlotte Hornets | Forward | 6-7
Brandon Miller
20.1 PPG
4.9 RPG
3.3 APG
30.4 MPG
+6.9 Impact

Miller produces at an elite rate for a 30-minute workload.

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NET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
Every stat, every credit, every cost — per game average
+6.9
Scoring +18.0
Points 20.1 PPG = +13.3
Shot Making above expected FG% = +4.7
Creation +1.2
Creation 3.3 AST/g = +1.2
Turnovers -6.2
Turnovers 2.5/g = -6.2
Defense +0.3
Defense 1.0 STL, 0.7 BLK = +0.3
Hustle & Effort +4.2
Rebounds 4.9 RPG = +4.2
Raw Impact +17.5
Baseline (game-average expected) −10.6
Net Impact
+6.9
81st pctl vs Forwards

PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology

SKILL DNA

Percentile rank vs 234 Forwards with 10+ games

Scoring 90th
20.1 PPG
Efficiency 62th
58.1% TS
Playmaking 87th
3.3 APG
Rebounding 60th
4.9 RPG
Defense 23th
+5.1/g
Hustle 81th
+16.5/g
Creation 81th
+3.61/g
Shot Making 86th
+8.76/g
TO Discipline 7th
0.08/min

THE SEASON SO FAR

Brandon Miller’s first twenty games were defined by a maddening tug-of-war between lethal offensive outbursts and catastrophic shot selection. He frequently sabotaged his own value by settling for heavily contested pull-up jumpers and forcing isolation plays instead of letting the game come to him. Look no further than 12/31 vs GSW, where he poured in 33 points but actually posted a -2.4 impact score because he required a staggering 29 field goal attempts to get there. When he actually blended his scoring talent with high-level playmaking, the results were devastating for opponents. During a brilliant performance on 12/18 vs ATL, Miller generated a massive +15.6 impact by pairing 26 points with 8 assists, breaking down the defense rather than chucking over it. Conversely, when his jumper abandoned him, he rarely found secondary ways to contribute. His insistence on firing through slumps resulted in disastrous outings like 11/29 vs TOR, where a 1/13 shooting night utterly cratered the offense and saddled him with a brutal -12.1 impact mark.

Brandon Miller’s midseason stretch was defined by a terrifying Jekyll-and-Hyde duality. He oscillated wildly between unstoppable shot-making and self-sabotaging offensive execution. He looked utterly flawless on 01/26 vs PHI, pouring in 30 points on a ruthlessly efficient 9-of-11 from the floor to generate a staggering +21.8 impact score. That massive positive value stemmed directly from a perimeter shooting masterclass that completely broke the opposing defense. Yet, that brilliant form became an illusion by 02/11 vs ATL, where his 31 points were entirely deceiving. Despite the hefty scoring total, his impact score rested at a negative -0.3 because his volume completely masked a highly inefficient 10-for-26 shot profile that yielded empty possessions and stalled the offense. The regression hit rock bottom on 02/19 vs HOU. A disastrous 1-for-12 performance from beyond the arc derailed the halfcourt offense, cratering his overall impact to a dismal -12.0.

Brandon Miller’s midseason stretch was defined by a volatile tug-of-war between lethal perimeter shot-making and self-sabotaging offensive habits. When fully engaged, he was a two-way terror who didn't strictly need massive scoring totals to dictate the flow of the game. Look at his 18-point outing on 03/04 vs BOS, where he generated a stellar +11.6 impact score purely through aggressive closeouts and high-motor transition play. Unfortunately, maddening inconsistency surfaced whenever he abandoned the system to play hero ball. On 03/14 vs SAS, an abysmal shot selection profile completely cratered his value, resulting in an atrocious -19.0 impact score as he repeatedly forced heavily contested jumpers to finish with a meager 6 points. Even when his outside stroke was falling, hidden costs occasionally dragged his overall value into the red. Despite dropping 21 points on highly efficient shooting on 03/26 vs NYK, he posted a -0.4 impact because his scoring was entirely negated by defensive lapses and a glaring lack of secondary playmaking.

IMPACT TIMELINE

Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.

PATTERNS

Volatile for his role. Miller has noticeable ups and downs, with scoring moving ~7 points between games.

Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 51% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.

Defensive difference-maker. Miller consistently forces tough shots and protects the rim — opponents shoot worse when he's guarding them.

Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 11 games. Longest cold streak: 4 games.

MATCHUP HISTORY

Based on 60 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.

ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM

His shooting stats against each primary defender this season

D. Daniels 56.5 poss
FG% 60.0%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.27
PTS 15
D. Bane 51.6 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 42.9%
PPP 0.33
PTS 17
M. Buzelis 49.3 poss
FG% 41.7%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.26
PTS 13
S. Barnes 45.3 poss
FG% 12.5%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.04
PTS 2
T. Camara 43.7 poss
FG% 57.1%
3P% 50.0%
PPP 0.23
PTS 10
J. Harden 41.2 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.36
PTS 15
Z. Risacher 40.5 poss
FG% 36.4%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 12
D. Mitchell 39.9 poss
FG% 44.4%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.25
PTS 10
T. da Silva 39.7 poss
FG% 63.6%
3P% 57.1%
PPP 0.45
PTS 18
M. Bridges 39.6 poss
FG% 0.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 4

ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED

How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.

J. Johnson 56.3 poss
FG% 50.0%
3P% 20.0%
PPP 0.3
PTS 17
D. Wade 51.0 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 33.3%
PPP 0.18
PTS 9
T. Herro 49.6 poss
FG% 62.5%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.28
PTS 14
M. Buzelis 47.5 poss
FG% 66.7%
3P% 60.0%
PPP 0.34
PTS 16
A. Black 45.9 poss
FG% 14.3%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.07
PTS 3
T. Camara 41.7 poss
FG% 16.7%
3P% 16.7%
PPP 0.07
PTS 3
T. Maxey 41.0 poss
FG% 28.6%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.15
PTS 6
R. Rollins 40.9 poss
FG% 80.0%
3P% 100.0%
PPP 0.29
PTS 12
T. Jones 40.2 poss
FG% 25.0%
3P% 0.0%
PPP 0.1
PTS 4
J. Harden 39.4 poss
FG% 40.0%
3P% 40.0%
PPP 0.33
PTS 13

SEASON STATS

67
Games
20.1
PPG
4.9
RPG
3.3
APG
1.0
SPG
0.7
BPG
43.7
FG%
38.7
3P%
89.2
FT%
30.4
MPG

GAME LOG

67 games played