2025-26 Season
AJ GREEN
2025-26 Season
AJ GREEN
PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology
TEAM COMPARISON
of 17 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)
Similar Players
Same position, closest production profile this season.
SKILL DNA
Percentile rank vs 245 Guards with 10+ games
THE SEASON SO FAR
AJ Green's early season was defined by a glaring paradox: elite floor spacing completely erased by catastrophic defensive vulnerabilities. He operated strictly as a one-dimensional catch-and-shoot threat. During the 01/19 vs ATL matchup, Green drained six triples for 18 points, yet posted a brutal -9.2 impact score because opposing guards relentlessly hunted him in isolation. When the jumper went cold, the bottom fell out entirely. Look no further than 11/07 vs CHI, where his stubborn perimeter shot-hunting resulted in a 2-for-8 shooting night and a disastrous -13.8 impact mark. He did find brief redemption on 11/26 vs MIA, logging a +5.6 impact by pairing his efficient 4-for-6 three-point shooting with eight assists to maximize his offensive touches. Ultimately, Green can hit spot-up threes in his sleep, but his inability to navigate screens or provide point-of-attack resistance makes his heavy minutes a severe liability.
This stretch was an ugly, one-dimensional slump where AJ Green's absolute reliance on the three-point shot routinely handicapped his team. During the 01/04 vs SAC matchup, he threw up a complete dud, missing all six of his deep attempts to generate a dismal -11.6 impact score. When the jumper abandoned him, he offered almost nothing else, acting as an offensive black hole who couldn't find alternative ways to contribute. Even when the shots actually fell, hidden costs dragged him deep into the red, as seen on 01/11 vs DEN. Despite hitting four threes for 14 points in that contest, his impact plummeted to -7.8 because defensive breakdowns and costly live-ball turnovers completely erased his spacing value. He offered a fleeting glimpse of his ideal role on 12/26 vs MEM, drilling six triples for 20 points and a positive +2.8 impact score by making decisive catch-and-shoot reads. Ultimately, unless he is executing as a lethal, high-volume marksman, his defensive lapses and lack of playmaking make him far too costly to keep on the floor.
A brutal defensive slump and empty-calorie shooting defined this miserable midseason stretch for AJ Green. Even when his jumper was falling, his inability to guard his own shadow erased his offensive value. Look at his outing on 02/04 vs NOP. He splashed six threes for 20 points, but still posted a -4.0 impact because his failure to navigate screens surrendered a parade of straight-line drives to the rim. The exact same script played out on 02/25 vs CLE, where 15 points were completely wiped out by severe defensive liabilities that dragged him to a dismal -11.8 impact score. When the jumper abandoned him, he became actively detrimental. During a brutal performance on 03/08 vs ORL, Green stubbornly chucked his way to 4 points on 1-for-8 shooting from deep. That broken rhythm fueled a -14.5 impact, as his long, ill-advised misses consistently ignited the opponent's transition offense.
IMPACT TIMELINE
Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.
Boom-or-bust player. Green's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~6 points per game.
Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 49% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.
Defensive impact is minimal for a 29-minute player. Not generating enough contests, rim protection, or forced turnovers to move the needle.
Hot right now — 4 straight games with positive impact. Longest positive run this season: 4 games.
MATCHUP HISTORY
Based on 72 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.
ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM
His shooting stats against each primary defender this season
ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED
How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.
SEASON STATS
GAME LOG
78 games played
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