2025-26 Season
AARON NESMITH
2025-26 Season
AARON NESMITH
PBP Credit: Every play is analyzed from play-by-play data. Scorers get difficulty-adjusted credit, assisters get creation value based on the shot opportunity they created, and turnovers are classified by type. Shot difficulty is derived from 1M+ shots across 4 seasons. Full methodology
TEAM COMPARISON
of 21 teammates (10+ games, 10+ min)
Similar Players
Same position, closest production profile this season.
SKILL DNA
Percentile rank vs 245 Guards with 10+ games
THE SEASON SO FAR
Aaron Nesmith’s opening stretch of the season was defined by a maddening Jekyll-and-Hyde routine, oscillating violently between lethal perimeter marksmanship and disastrous shot selection. When his jumper abandoned him, he stubbornly tried to shoot his way out of slumps, racking up hidden costs that tanked his value. Look no further than 10/26 vs MIN, where he scored a respectable 18 points but posted a -0.9 impact score because a heavy volume of clanked perimeter looks completely negated his floor-spacing presence. His shot selection hit rock bottom shortly after on 10/29 vs DAL. During that absolute crater of an offensive performance, a barrage of forced, contested threes resulted in a 2-for-16 shooting nightmare and a catastrophic -17.9 impact score. Yet, Nesmith occasionally found ways to salvage his nightly grade without filling the scoring column. On 12/31 vs ORL, he managed just 9 points on brutal 3-for-11 shooting, but he hauled in 10 rebounds and generated elite hustle metrics to grind out a +4.0 impact score. To become a reliable nightly weapon, he must stop letting errant shooting hijack his overall utility.
A catastrophic shooting slump defined the start of this stretch for Aaron Nesmith, as erratic perimeter execution repeatedly tanked his on-court value. During the 01/19 vs PHI matchup, a glacial 1-for-9 shooting performance from the floor dragged his impact score down to a staggering -16.6, completely erasing the value of his 11 rebounds. Even when his jumper eventually started falling, hidden costs often sabotaged his bottom line. He poured in an efficient 14 points on 4-for-6 from deep on 03/17 vs NYK, but off-ball defensive struggles eroded his foundation, resulting in a disappointing -5.1 impact score. He finally broke through the malaise on 03/10 vs SAC. Relentless downhill attacking and elite hustle metrics fueled a 29-point outburst that generated a massive +12.9 impact score. Ultimately, Nesmith spent most of these twenty games battling his own shot selection, needing blistering offensive nights just to keep his head above water.
IMPACT TIMELINE
Game-by-game performance vs average. Green = above average, red = below.
Boom-or-bust player. Nesmith's impact swings wildly relative to his average — some nights dominant, others invisible. Scoring varies by ~7 points per game.
Middle-of-the-road efficiency — shoots 45%+ from the field in 45% of games. Not automatic, but not a problem either.
Good defender on his best nights, but it comes and goes. Some games Nesmith locks in defensively, others he gets picked apart.
Small downward trend. First-half impact: +2.8, second-half: +0.2. Not alarming yet, but trending the wrong direction.
Tends to go on runs. Longest hot streak: 6 games. Longest cold streak: 6 games.
MATCHUP HISTORY
Based on 55 games with tracking data. Shows who guarded this player on offense and who he guarded on defense, with their shooting stats in those matchups.
ON OFFENSE: WHO GUARDED HIM
His shooting stats against each primary defender this season
ON DEFENSE: WHO HE GUARDED
How opponents shot when he was the primary defender. Lower FG% = better defense.
SEASON STATS
GAME LOG
46 games played
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